Scotland - PremiershipTynecastle ParkData current as of 26 October 2026

Hearts vs Rangers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hearts vs Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hearts play Rangers in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 28 October 2026. Venue: Tynecastle Park.

Current form

Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rangers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hearts scores 2.20 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Rangers scores 1.70 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hearts 70%, Rangers 50%. Over 2.5: Hearts 80%, Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Rangers has higher xG: 2.22 vs 1.75. Hearts: 16.1 shots per match, Rangers: 20.3.

Match halves

Hearts: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Rangers: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

Hearts: 31-45+ (5 goals). Rangers: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.13)
(3.58)
(2.12)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.2Goals scored / match1.7
HeartsRangers
1.5Goals conceded / match0.7
HeartsRangers
53%Average possession56%
HeartsRangers
5.3Shots on target / match6.9
HeartsRangers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.1Shots per match20.3
HeartsRangers
5.3Shots on target6.9
HeartsRangers
13.7%Shot conversion8.4%
HeartsRangers
53%Possession56%
HeartsRangers
1.75xG for2.22
HeartsRangers
1.21xG against1.08
HeartsRangers

Shooting quality

Hearts: AttackingRangers: Dominant
HeartsRangers
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rangers is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Hearts · 2.6 pts / match - Rangers

Hearts
LDWLW
Season result split
60% W10% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-3
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Rangers
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
70% W20% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

2.2 goals / match - Hearts · 1.7 goals / match - Rangers

Rangers is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Hearts · 0.7 goals / match - Rangers

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Rangers scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

22Goals scored (season)17
HeartsRangers
15Goals conceded (season)7
HeartsRangers
3.7Average goals in match2.4
HeartsRangers
10Goals scored (last 5)11
HeartsRangers
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
HeartsRangers

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
HeartsRangers
60%2 goals40%
HeartsRangers
30%3 goals20%
HeartsRangers
20%4 goals10%
HeartsRangers

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal50%
HeartsRangers
30%2 goals20%
HeartsRangers
10%3 goals0%
HeartsRangers
10%4 goals0%
HeartsRangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
HeartsRangers
0%BTTS in both halves10%
HeartsRangers
40%Scored in both halves30%
HeartsRangers

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
HeartsRangers
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
HeartsRangers
60%BTTS - last 540%
HeartsRangers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
HeartsRangers
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HeartsRangers
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HeartsRangers

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
HeartsRangers
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
HeartsRangers
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
HeartsRangers

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / match - Hearts · 1.6 pts / match - Rangers

Hearts - half-time state
60% leading10% draw30% trailing
Rangers - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per match (1st half)1.6
HeartsRangers
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.8
HeartsRangers
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
HeartsRangers
2Average goals (1st half)1.2
HeartsRangers
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
HeartsRangers
20%No goal before half-time40%
HeartsRangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.9
HeartsRangers
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
HeartsRangers
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.3
HeartsRangers
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.2
HeartsRangers
50%Clean sheet after half-time70%
HeartsRangers
40%No goal after half-time30%
HeartsRangers

Hearts - second-half results

50% W10% D40% L
19
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rangers - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Rangers
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HeartsLigaRangers
Average goals in match▲ 3.702.82▼ 2.40
Both teams scored▲ 70%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%58%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 30%24%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Hearts 3 - 0 - 1 Rangers. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Hearts and Rangers play?

Hearts face Rangers on 28 October 2026 in Premiership at Tynecastle Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Rangers?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hearts won 3, Rangers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts score 2.20 goals per game on average and Rangers 1.70. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Hearts's matches and 50% of Rangers's.

What form are Hearts and Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rangers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Rangers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.