Costa Rica - Primera División FPDEstadio Eladio Rosabal CorderoData current as of 15 October 2026

Herediano vs San Carlos: match statistics

Herediano crest
Herediano
0 : 1half-time 0:1
San Carlos crest
San Carlos

Herediano vs San Carlos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Herediano played San Carlos in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Herediano: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. San Carlos: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Herediano scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. San Carlos scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Herediano 33%, San Carlos 22%. Over 2.5: Herediano 33%, San Carlos 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Herediano has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.12. Herediano: 13.4 shots per match, San Carlos: 8.0.

Match halves

Herediano: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. San Carlos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Herediano: 31-45+ (2 goals). San Carlos: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División FPD: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 40%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

San Carlos have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 2 goals in that run, while Herediano have recorded 2 wins and conceded 7. Home advantage has not helped the hosts: they have failed to win any of their 4 home fixtures, conceding an average of 2.5 goals, compared with 1 goal conceded per away match by the visitors. Herediano create more chances, averaging 1.94 xG at home against San Carlos’ 1.22 xG away, but score just 0.75 goals per match and have failed to score in half of their home games. The visitors have won 2 of their 4 away matches and kept a clean sheet in 50% of them, so despite the hosts’ edge in chance creation, San Carlos are more likely to win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has occurred in only 20% of Herediano’s matches and 25% of San Carlos’s matches so far, well below the league average of 47%. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, compared with 50% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. In their last 5 matches, San Carlos have conceded just 2 goals, an average of 0.4 per game, while Herediano’s season scoring average is 0.8. The visitors have slightly greater attacking potential than the hosts, with an xG of 1.22 versus 1.02, yet BTTS has landed in only 20% of their last 5 matches. Therefore, BTTS - No is the more likely outcome, although Herediano’s recent average of 1.4 goals conceded per game leaves some chance of both teams scoring.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: none of the matches played by either team so far have featured 4 goals. Herediano average 0.8 goals scored, while San Carlos average 1.0; both teams concede an average of 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking xG—1.02 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors—also points to a moderate number of goal-scoring chances. In their last 5 matches, San Carlos conceded just 2 goals, and the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 20% of their matches, compared with 40% of Herediano's. A forecast of 2.06 total goals supports Under 3.5, although the difference between the teams around the 2.5 line calls for a more cautious pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to San Carlos leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to full time: in their last five matches, the visitors led at half-time three times, while Herediano did not lead at the break at all. Over the same period, San Carlos won four of five matches and conceded an average of 0.4 goals per game, while the hosts won twice and conceded an average of 1.4 goals. The visitors' record of not losing the second half in any of their last five matches also supports the prospect of them holding a potential lead, although the hosts averaged 1.0 goal after the break. This is not a risk-free pick, as season-long data show Herediano winning 60% of matches and leading at half-time in 50%, compared with 50% and 25%, respectively, for San Carlos. However, recent form and the clear difference in first-half results favor the 2/2 HT/FT scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
HeredianoSan Carlos
22Shots10
HeredianoSan Carlos
7Shots on target3
HeredianoSan Carlos
2.21xG1.21
HeredianoSan Carlos
11Corners5
HeredianoSan Carlos
46Dangerous attacks50
HeredianoSan Carlos
14Fouls20
HeredianoSan Carlos
1Cards2
HeredianoSan Carlos

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HeredianoSan Carlos
0.67Goals scored / match0.89
HeredianoSan Carlos
1.67Goals conceded / match1
HeredianoSan Carlos
58%Average possession47%
HeredianoSan Carlos
4.44Shots on target / match2.78
HeredianoSan Carlos

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.44Shots per match8
HeredianoSan Carlos
4.44Shots on target2.78
HeredianoSan Carlos
5%Shot conversion11.1%
HeredianoSan Carlos
58%Possession47%
HeredianoSan Carlos
1.68xG for1.12
HeredianoSan Carlos
1.39xG against1.22
HeredianoSan Carlos

Shooting quality

Herediano: BalancedSan Carlos: Balanced
HeredianoSan Carlos
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.150.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

San Carlos is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Herediano · 2.4 pts / match - San Carlos

Herediano
LLLWL
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
San Carlos
WLWWW
Season result split
56% W0% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
LLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

San Carlos is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Herediano · 0.89 goals / match - San Carlos

San Carlos is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Herediano · 1 goals / match - San Carlos

Herediano scoring profile: more difficult

Herediano scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while San Carlos keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

San Carlos scoring profile: very strong

San Carlos scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Herediano keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

6Goals scored (season)8
HeredianoSan Carlos
15Goals conceded (season)9
HeredianoSan Carlos
2.33Average goals in match1.89
HeredianoSan Carlos
4Goals scored (last 5)6
HeredianoSan Carlos
9Goals conceded (last 5)2
HeredianoSan Carlos

How often they score at least...

44%1 goal78%
HeredianoSan Carlos
22%2 goals11%
HeredianoSan Carlos
0%3 goals0%
HeredianoSan Carlos
0%4 goals0%
HeredianoSan Carlos

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal44%
HeredianoSan Carlos
44%2 goals44%
HeredianoSan Carlos
33%3 goals11%
HeredianoSan Carlos
0%4 goals0%
HeredianoSan Carlos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
HeredianoSan Carlos
11%BTTS in both halves0%
HeredianoSan Carlos
11%Scored in both halves0%
HeredianoSan Carlos

BTTS and goal count

11%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
HeredianoSan Carlos
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
HeredianoSan Carlos
20%BTTS - last 520%
HeredianoSan Carlos

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
HeredianoSan Carlos
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
HeredianoSan Carlos
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HeredianoSan Carlos

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
HeredianoSan Carlos
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
HeredianoSan Carlos
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
HeredianoSan Carlos

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

San Carlos is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Herediano · 1.44 pts / match - San Carlos

Herediano - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
San Carlos - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.44
HeredianoSan Carlos
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.44
HeredianoSan Carlos
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.22
HeredianoSan Carlos
1Average goals (1st half)0.67
HeredianoSan Carlos
33%Clean sheet before half-time78%
HeredianoSan Carlos
67%No goal before half-time67%
HeredianoSan Carlos

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)1.22
HeredianoSan Carlos
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
HeredianoSan Carlos
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
HeredianoSan Carlos
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.89
HeredianoSan Carlos
44%Clean sheet after half-time67%
HeredianoSan Carlos
78%No goal after half-time56%
HeredianoSan Carlos

Herediano - second-half results

11% W33% D56% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

San Carlos - second-half results

22% W56% D22% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Herediano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
San Carlos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Herediano
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

San Carlos
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.12
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
28%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Herediano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

San Carlos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).

Teams vs league

HeredianoLigaSan Carlos
Average goals in match▼ 2.332.54▼ 1.89
Both teams scored▼ 33%50%▼ 22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%42%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 11%26%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%75%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%73%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. San CarlosSubstitutionOn: Roberto José Córdoba DuránOff: Jorshuad Pilarte
  2. San CarlosYellow cardRoberto José Córdoba Durán
  3. San CarlosYellow cardJordy Evans
  4. HeredianoYellow cardKeyner Yamal Brown Blackwood

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Herediano 2 - 1 - 2 San Carlos. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Herediano vs San Carlos?

The Primera División FPD match finished Herediano 0:1 San Carlos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Herediano and San Carlos?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Herediano won 2, San Carlos won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Herediano vs San Carlos?

Herediano score 0.67 goals per game on average and San Carlos 0.89. The Primera División FPD average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Herediano's matches and 22% of San Carlos's.

What form are Herediano and San Carlos in?

Over the last 5 games Herediano have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and San Carlos 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Herediano vs San Carlos?

The statistical background for Herediano vs San Carlos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.