Scotland - PremiershipEaster Road StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Hibernian vs Celtic: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hibernian vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hibernian play Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Easter Road Stadium.

Current form

Hibernian: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Celtic: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hibernian scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Celtic scores 2.56 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hibernian 78%, Celtic 44%. Over 2.5: Hibernian 67%, Celtic 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 2.43 vs 1.75. Hibernian: 16.6 shots per match, Celtic: 20.4.

Match halves

Hibernian: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Celtic: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Hibernian: 16-30 (2 goals). Celtic: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.33)
(4.00)
(1.67)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2.56
HibernianCeltic
1.56Goals conceded / match0.56
HibernianCeltic
53%Average possession60%
HibernianCeltic
4.22Shots on target / match9.22
HibernianCeltic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.56Shots per match20.44
HibernianCeltic
4.22Shots on target9.22
HibernianCeltic
6%Shot conversion12.5%
HibernianCeltic
53%Possession60%
HibernianCeltic
1.75xG for2.43
HibernianCeltic
1.52xG against1.32
HibernianCeltic

Shooting quality

Hibernian: AttackingCeltic: Dominant
HibernianCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)25%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Celtic is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Hibernian · 2.4 pts / match - Celtic

Hibernian
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W11% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-6
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Celtic
WWLWW
Season result split
89% W0% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-1
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 away
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.21Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 156% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Hibernian · 2.56 goals / match - Celtic

Celtic is 179% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Hibernian · 0.56 goals / match - Celtic

Hibernian scoring profile: strong

Hibernian scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)23
HibernianCeltic
14Goals conceded (season)5
HibernianCeltic
2.56Average goals in match3.11
HibernianCeltic
3Goals scored (last 5)12
HibernianCeltic
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
HibernianCeltic

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
HibernianCeltic
22%2 goals67%
HibernianCeltic
0%3 goals33%
HibernianCeltic
0%4 goals22%
HibernianCeltic

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal56%
HibernianCeltic
44%2 goals0%
HibernianCeltic
11%3 goals0%
HibernianCeltic
0%4 goals0%
HibernianCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
HibernianCeltic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HibernianCeltic
22%Scored in both halves33%
HibernianCeltic

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
HibernianCeltic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
HibernianCeltic
60%BTTS - last 540%
HibernianCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
HibernianCeltic
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
HibernianCeltic
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
HibernianCeltic

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
HibernianCeltic
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
HibernianCeltic
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
HibernianCeltic

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 182% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Hibernian · 1.89 pts / match - Celtic

Hibernian - half-time state
22% leading0% draw78% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.89
HibernianCeltic
0.44Goals scored (1st half)1.56
HibernianCeltic
1.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
HibernianCeltic
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.89
HibernianCeltic
22%Clean sheet before half-time67%
HibernianCeltic
56%No goal before half-time44%
HibernianCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)2.22
HibernianCeltic
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1
HibernianCeltic
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.22
HibernianCeltic
1Average goals (2nd half)1.22
HibernianCeltic
56%Clean sheet after half-time78%
HibernianCeltic
44%No goal after half-time33%
HibernianCeltic

Hibernian - second-half results

11% W89% D0% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - second-half results

67% W22% D11% L
17
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hibernian - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.0
Average goals in match1.80.2
1 goal100%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
6
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
192%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
39%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HibernianLigaCeltic
Average goals in match▼ 2.562.76▲ 3.11
Both teams scored▲ 78%56%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%56%• 56%
Clean sheets▼ 0%24%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%83%▼ 78%
Goal after half-time▼ 56%76%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Hibernian 1 - 1 - 2 Celtic. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Hibernian and Celtic play?

Hibernian face Celtic on 25 October 2026 in Premiership at Easter Road Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Celtic?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian score 1.00 goals per game on average and Celtic 2.56. The Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Hibernian's matches and 44% of Celtic's.

What form are Hibernian and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games Hibernian have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Celtic 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernian vs Celtic?

The statistical background for Hibernian vs Celtic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.