Scotland - PremiershipEaster Road StadiumData current as of 14 October 2026

Hibernian vs Falkirk: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hibernian vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hibernian play Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Easter Road Stadium.

Current form

Hibernian: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Falkirk: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hibernian scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Falkirk scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hibernian 75%, Falkirk 75%. Over 2.5: Hibernian 63%, Falkirk 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Hibernian has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.29. Hibernian: 16.5 shots per match, Falkirk: 11.8.

Match halves

Hibernian: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Falkirk: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Hibernian: 16-30 (2 goals). Falkirk: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.72)
(3.80)
(4.46)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.88
HibernianFalkirk
1.5Goals conceded / match1.38
HibernianFalkirk
51%Average possession48%
HibernianFalkirk
4.38Shots on target / match3.63
HibernianFalkirk

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match11.75
HibernianFalkirk
4.38Shots on target3.63
HibernianFalkirk
6.1%Shot conversion7.4%
HibernianFalkirk
51%Possession48%
HibernianFalkirk
1.75xG for1.29
HibernianFalkirk
1.56xG against1.72
HibernianFalkirk

Shooting quality

Hibernian: AttackingFalkirk: Balanced
HibernianFalkirk
Accuracy (shots on target)27%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Falkirk is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Hibernian · 1 pts / match - Falkirk

Hibernian
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Falkirk
LDWDL
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-4
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hibernian is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Hibernian · 0.88 goals / match - Falkirk

Falkirk is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Hibernian · 1.38 goals / match - Falkirk

Hibernian scoring profile: very strong

Hibernian scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Falkirk scoring profile: very strong

Falkirk scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

8Goals scored (season)7
HibernianFalkirk
12Goals conceded (season)11
HibernianFalkirk
2.5Average goals in match2.25
HibernianFalkirk
3Goals scored (last 5)6
HibernianFalkirk
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
HibernianFalkirk

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
HibernianFalkirk
25%2 goals13%
HibernianFalkirk
0%3 goals0%
HibernianFalkirk
0%4 goals0%
HibernianFalkirk

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
HibernianFalkirk
38%2 goals50%
HibernianFalkirk
13%3 goals0%
HibernianFalkirk
0%4 goals0%
HibernianFalkirk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
HibernianFalkirk
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HibernianFalkirk
25%Scored in both halves13%
HibernianFalkirk

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
HibernianFalkirk
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HibernianFalkirk
60%BTTS - last 5100%
HibernianFalkirk

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
HibernianFalkirk
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
HibernianFalkirk
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HibernianFalkirk

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
HibernianFalkirk
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
HibernianFalkirk
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HibernianFalkirk

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Falkirk is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Hibernian · 1.25 pts / match - Falkirk

Hibernian - half-time state
25% leading0% draw75% trailing
Falkirk - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)1.25
HibernianFalkirk
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.5
HibernianFalkirk
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
HibernianFalkirk
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.13
HibernianFalkirk
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HibernianFalkirk
63%No goal before half-time50%
HibernianFalkirk

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1
HibernianFalkirk
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
HibernianFalkirk
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
HibernianFalkirk
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.13
HibernianFalkirk
50%Clean sheet after half-time38%
HibernianFalkirk
38%No goal after half-time63%
HibernianFalkirk

Hibernian - second-half results

13% W88% D0% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Falkirk - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hibernian - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match1.60.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
5
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HibernianLigaFalkirk
Average goals in match• 2.502.56▼ 2.25
Both teams scored▲ 75%50%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%81%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%75%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Hibernian 2 - 1 - 1 Falkirk. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Hibernian and Falkirk play?

Hibernian face Falkirk on 17 October 2026 in Premiership at Easter Road Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Falkirk?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 2, Falkirk won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Hibernian score 1.00 goals per game on average and Falkirk 0.88. The Premiership average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Hibernian's matches and 75% of Falkirk's.

What form are Hibernian and Falkirk in?

Over the last 5 games Hibernian have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Falkirk 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hibernian vs Falkirk: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.