Inverness CT vs Queen of the South: match statistics
Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 18 wins and just 4 losses this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 73% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per game and conceding only 0.67 goals. Queen of the South sits only in 5th place with noticeably weaker away form - just 36% of victories on the road, conceding an average of 1.43 goals and failing to score in 36% of away matches. Furthermore, the difference in offensive quality (xG 2.03 vs 1.2) and defensive quality (xG against 0.65 vs 1.28) speaks decisively in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams (Inverness with 1.8 PPG vs Queen of the South with 1.4 PPG) and the goal difference in home/away matches (+24 vs -1) further confirm the leader's advantage, making the home victory the most probable scenario.
Inverness CT vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Inverness CT: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Queen of the South: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.73 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.57 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 43%, Queen of the South 53%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 43%, Queen of the South 53%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.40. Inverness CT: 13.8 shots per match, Queen of the South: 11.2.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.93. Queen of the South: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). Queen of the South: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 18 wins and just 4 losses this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 73% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per game and conceding only 0.67 goals. Queen of the South sits only in 5th place with noticeably weaker away form - just 36% of victories on the road, conceding an average of 1.43 goals and failing to score in 36% of away matches. Furthermore, the difference in offensive quality (xG 2.03 vs 1.2) and defensive quality (xG against 0.65 vs 1.28) speaks decisively in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams (Inverness with 1.8 PPG vs Queen of the South with 1.4 PPG) and the goal difference in home/away matches (+24 vs -1) further confirm the leader's advantage, making the home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Inverness has strong BTTS-favoring metrics: a 63% BTTS rate for the season and 80% in their last 5 matches, while generating solid offensive numbers (1.69 goals and 1.57 xG per game, 5.63 shots on target). Queen of the South also records an 80% BTTS rate in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals with 1.53 xG, suggesting an improvement in offensive efficiency despite a weaker seasonal FTS (36%). The strongest argument against BTTS is Inverness's strong defensive form in recent matches (0.8 goals conceded and only 0.69 xG against), which could limit the visitors' scoring chances. On the other hand, Queen of the South's defense remains vulnerable (1.43 goals conceded per season and 1.6 in the last 5), so a goal from the hosts looks very likely. Overall, the seasonal data and especially the trend from the last 5 matches for both sides tilt the forecast slightly towards BTTS 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model indicates a total of 2.79 goals (1.52 for Inverness CT and 1.27 for Queen of the South), derived from a combination of goal and xG metrics (including xG for of 1.57 vs opponent's xG against of 1.28, and 1.20 vs 1.33). Both teams very frequently surpass the 1.5 goal line in league matches: Inverness 88% and Queen of the South 93%, while simultaneously having low Under 1.5 percentages (12% and 7%). The attacking profile supports a high-scoring scenario, as the hosts generate significantly more shots and shots on target (12.75 and 5.63) than the visitors (9.36 and 4.07). Furthermore, in the last 5 matches, both sides have been scoring an average of 1.6 goals, with BTTS in this period at 80% each, which increases the chance for at least two goals. The 2.5 line is closer to 50/50 (seasonal Over 2.5: 56% vs 43%), and Under 3.5 remains more frequent (69–71%). Therefore, the strongest and most probable bet is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inverness holds a clear edge in quality and stability: 1.75 PPG vs 1.29, a higher win percentage (50% vs 36%), and a better goal balance (1.69 scored / 1.19 conceded vs 1.36 / 1.43). Recent 5-match data strongly supports the hosts leading at the break: Inverness was ahead at HT in 60% of games and conceded only 0.2 goals on average in the first half, while Queen of the South trailed at HT in 60% and conceded 1.2 goals. Inverness's offensive strength is further confirmed by expected goals metrics (xG for 1.57 vs 1.20) and a shooting advantage (12.75 shots and 5.63 on target vs 9.36 and 4.07). In the second half, the hosts are more efficient (1.06 goals scored in 2H with 0.56 conceded), which favors maintaining or extending a lead. Queen of the South has a high loss rate (43%) and more frequently fails to score in matches (FTS 36%), therefore the 1/1 outcome is the most data-consistent scenario, while X/1 remains a plausible alternative in case of a halftime draw and a second-half turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.4 pts / match - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.57 goals / match - Queen of the South
Inverness CT is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.3 goals / match - Queen of the South
Inverness CT scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Queen of the South scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 53% (16 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.37 pts / match - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 1 - 0 Queen of the South. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Queen of the South?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Queen of the South won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Queen of the South?
Inverness CT score 1.73 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.57. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Inverness CT's matches and 53% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Inverness CT and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Queen of the South 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Queen of the South?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inverness CT vs Queen of the South: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.