Irtysh vs Aktobe: match statistics
Irtysh vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irtysh played Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Irtysh: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Aktobe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irtysh scores 0.95 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.45 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irtysh 57%, Aktobe 55%. Over 2.5: Irtysh 48%, Aktobe 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.41. Irtysh: 11.8 shots per match, Aktobe: 13.7.
Match halves
Irtysh: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62. Aktobe: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Irtysh: 76-90+ (6 goals). Aktobe: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aktobe sit 5th in the table and have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, winning 3 games, while 15th-placed Irtysh have netted 6 goals over the same period and suffered 3 defeats. The visitors have a clearly superior season record overall: 10 wins and 32 goals scored compared with Irtysh’s 3 victories and 20 goals. The hosts’ home advantage is offset by a weak defence, which concedes an average of 1.40 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in only 10% of fixtures. Aktobe’s away record is not dominant, however, as they lose 55% of their matches on the road and concede an average of 1.64 goals, increasing Irtysh’s chances of scoring. Aktobe’s superior current attacking efficiency and form, reflected in an average of 2 points per game across the last five rounds compared with the hosts’ 1.2, point towards a narrow away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is strengthened by their current form: BTTS landed in 60% of Irtysh’s last 5 matches and in as many as 100% of Aktobe’s games. During this period, Aktobe averaged 2.0 goals scored, while Irtysh conceded 1.8; meanwhile, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored, compared with 1.6 goals conceded by the visitors. Irtysh have a very solid defensive record this season, with 55% clean sheets, but Aktobe are averaging 1.33 xG across the season and 1.94 in their last five appearances, giving the visitors genuine grounds to break through this defence. Aktobe, on the other hand, have kept no clean sheets this season and concede an average of 1.64 goals per match, while Irtysh score 1.73 goals at home. Although Irtysh’s season BTTS rate is only 45%, significantly stronger recent data and Aktobe’s defensive weakness shift the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Irtysh average 1.73 goals at home, while Aktobe concede as many as 1.64 away from home, clearly strengthening the case for at least two goals. The hosts also create more chances: their average xG is 1.77, with 6.45 shots on target per match, compared with Aktobe’s 1.33 xG and 3.73 shots on target. Both teams played matches with at least two goals in 73% of their games this season, while in their last five outings Aktobe averaged 2.0 goals scored and Irtysh conceded 1.8. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical support, although caution at higher lines is warranted given that only 45% of matches involving either side went Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Irtysh have a clearly superior home-season record: they win 73% of their matches, score an average of 1.73 goals and concede just 0.73, while Aktobe lose 55% of their away fixtures and concede 1.64 goals. The signal for a home lead at the break is strong, as Irtysh were ahead at half-time in 6 of their 11 home matches, while Aktobe went into the interval trailing in as many as 45% of their away games. Irtysh’s defence concedes an average of just 0.09 goals before the break and kept a clean sheet in 91% of those first halves, compared with Aktobe’s 0.73 goals conceded. The hosts also create more high-quality chances over the course of the match, with an average xG of 1.77 compared with the opponents’ 1.33, and record 6.45 shots on target per game versus Aktobe’s 3.73. Aktobe’s stronger recent run, including 3 wins in 5 matches, increases the risk of the 2/2 outcome, but Irtysh’s home-statistical advantage still provides the strongest support for an HT/FT scenario in which the hosts lead at half-time and go on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irtysh | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aktobe is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Irtysh · 2 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Irtysh · 1.45 goals / match - Aktobe
Aktobe is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Irtysh · 1.18 goals / match - Aktobe
Irtysh scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Aktobe scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irtysh
Over / Under - Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Irtysh · 1.41 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irtysh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irtysh
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Irtysh | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.38 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Irtysh 0 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Irtysh vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Irtysh 2:1 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irtysh vs Aktobe?
Irtysh score 0.95 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.45. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Irtysh's matches and 55% of Aktobe's.
What form are Irtysh and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Irtysh have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Aktobe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irtysh vs Aktobe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Irtysh vs Aktobe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.