Istra 1961 vs Varaždin: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Istra 1961 is in catastrophic form with four defeats in their last five matches, yet at home they maintain balance with 33% wins, draws, and losses. Varaždin also lacks shine in their away form (46% losses on the road), and their recent fixtures are a series of unstable results. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-3 for the hosts in home matches, -4 for the guests in away games) as well as similar xG values, confirming their balanced quality. The average of 2.25 goals per match for the hosts and 2.46 for the visitors suggests a high-scoring encounter; however, the poor finishing of both sides (9-10% shot conversion) and their defensive issues indicate the points are likely to be shared.
Istra 1961 vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Istra 1961 play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Istra 1961: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Istra 1961 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Istra 1961 53%, Varaždin 61%. Over 2.5: Istra 1961 50%, Varaždin 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Varaždin has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Istra 1961: 10.3 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.5.
Match halves
Istra 1961: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53. Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Istra 1961: 0-15 (8 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Istra 1961 is in catastrophic form with four defeats in their last five matches, yet at home they maintain balance with 33% wins, draws, and losses. Varaždin also lacks shine in their away form (46% losses on the road), and their recent fixtures are a series of unstable results. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-3 for the hosts in home matches, -4 for the guests in away games) as well as similar xG values, confirming their balanced quality. The average of 2.25 goals per match for the hosts and 2.46 for the visitors suggests a high-scoring encounter; however, the poor finishing of both sides (9-10% shot conversion) and their defensive issues indicate the points are likely to be shared.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 1.31 goals / match - Varaždin
Varaždin is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 1.28 goals / match - Varaždin
Istra 1961 scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Istra 1961
Over / Under — Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.44 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Istra 1961
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.66 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Istra 1961 2 - 0 - 1 Varaždin. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 2:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Varaždin?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 2, Varaždin won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
Istra 1961 score 1.08 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.31. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Istra 1961's matches and 61% of Varaždin's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
The statistical background for Istra 1961 vs Varaždin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.