Finland - YkkösliigaData current as of 21 September 2026

KäPa vs Haka: match statistics

Reasoning:

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KäPa vs Haka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KäPa play Haka in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 25 September 2026.

Current form

KäPa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Haka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

KäPa scores 1.13 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Haka scores 1.88 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KäPa 67%, Haka 54%. Over 2.5: KäPa 71%, Haka 58%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Haka has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.36. KäPa: 10.8 shots per match, Haka: 13.3.

Match halves

KäPa: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58. Haka: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

KäPa: 61-75 (7 goals). Haka: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.40)
(4.60)
(1.48)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match1.88
KäPaHaka
1.79Goals conceded / match1.08
KäPaHaka
50%Average possession56%
KäPaHaka
3.83Shots on target / match4.96
KäPaHaka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.79Shots per match13.29
KäPaHaka
3.83Shots on target4.96
KäPaHaka
10.4%Shot conversion14.1%
KäPaHaka
50%Possession56%
KäPaHaka
1.36xG for1.67
KäPaHaka
1.66xG against1.21
KäPaHaka

Shooting quality

KäPa: BalancedHaka: Efficient finishing
KäPaHaka
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Haka is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - KäPa · 1.4 pts / match - Haka

KäPa
LDDLW
Season result split
21% W25% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-13
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Haka
WLLDW
Season result split
54% W21% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-6
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Haka is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - KäPa · 1.88 goals / match - Haka

Haka is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.79 goals / match - KäPa · 1.08 goals / match - Haka

KäPa scoring profile: strong

KäPa scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Haka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

Haka scoring profile: very strong

Haka scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).

27Goals scored (season)45
KäPaHaka
43Goals conceded (season)26
KäPaHaka
2.92Average goals in match2.96
KäPaHaka
7Goals scored (last 5)7
KäPaHaka
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
KäPaHaka

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal83%
KäPaHaka
33%2 goals63%
KäPaHaka
8%3 goals25%
KäPaHaka
0%4 goals13%
KäPaHaka

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal67%
KäPaHaka
67%2 goals38%
KäPaHaka
21%3 goals4%
KäPaHaka
4%4 goals0%
KäPaHaka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time21%
KäPaHaka
4%BTTS in both halves8%
KäPaHaka
17%Scored in both halves46%
KäPaHaka

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
KäPaHaka
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
KäPaHaka
80%BTTS - last 540%
KäPaHaka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
KäPaHaka
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
KäPaHaka
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
KäPaHaka

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
KäPaHaka
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
KäPaHaka
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
KäPaHaka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Haka is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - KäPa · 1.46 pts / match - Haka

KäPa - half-time state
21% leading42% draw38% trailing
Haka - half-time state
42% leading21% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.46
KäPaHaka
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.75
KäPaHaka
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
KäPaHaka
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.33
KäPaHaka
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
KäPaHaka
54%No goal before half-time46%
KäPaHaka

After half-time (2nd half)

0.79Points per match (2nd half)1.92
KäPaHaka
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
KäPaHaka
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
KäPaHaka
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.63
KäPaHaka
33%Clean sheet after half-time54%
KäPaHaka
58%No goal after half-time25%
KäPaHaka

KäPa - second-half results

13% W42% D46% L
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Haka - second-half results

50% W42% D8% L
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KäPa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Haka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KäPa
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
3
9
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
3
61-75
2
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

Haka
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
8
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
7
1
46-60
7
4
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KäPa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Haka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KäPaLigaHaka
Average goals in match 2.922.58 2.96
Both teams scored 67%44% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%47% 58%
Clean sheets 13%31% 33%
Goal before half-time 71%66% 83%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): KäPa 0 - 1 - 1 Haka. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do KäPa and Haka play?

KäPa face Haka on 25 September 2026 in Ykkösliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between KäPa and Haka?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches KäPa won 0, Haka won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KäPa vs Haka?

KäPa score 1.13 goals per game on average and Haka 1.88. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of KäPa's matches and 54% of Haka's.

What form are KäPa and Haka in?

Over the last 5 games KäPa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Haka 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KäPa vs Haka?

The statistical background for KäPa vs Haka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.