Finland - YkkösliigaArto Tolsa AreenaData current as of 16 October 2026

KTP vs Klubi-04: match statistics

Reasoning:

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KTP vs Klubi-04: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KTP play Klubi-04 in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Arto Tolsa Areena.

Current form

KTP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Klubi-04: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

KTP scores 1.85 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Klubi-04 scores 1.42 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KTP 46%, Klubi-04 54%. Over 2.5: KTP 50%, Klubi-04 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

KTP has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.45. KTP: 14.6 shots per match, Klubi-04: 11.4.

Match halves

KTP: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.15. Klubi-04: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

KTP: 76-90+ (14 goals). Klubi-04: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.92)
(3.48)
(3.01)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.85Goals scored / match1.42
KTPKlubi-04
1Goals conceded / match1.42
KTPKlubi-04
49%Average possession52%
KTPKlubi-04
5.54Shots on target / match4.73
KTPKlubi-04

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.62Shots per match11.38
KTPKlubi-04
5.54Shots on target4.73
KTPKlubi-04
12.6%Shot conversion12.5%
KTPKlubi-04
49%Possession52%
KTPKlubi-04
1.74xG for1.45
KTPKlubi-04
1.32xG against1.49
KTPKlubi-04

Shooting quality

KTP: AttackingKlubi-04: Balanced
KTPKlubi-04
Accuracy (shots on target)38%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KTP is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - KTP · 1.4 pts / match - Klubi-04

KTP
WWWDL
Season result split
69% W15% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-4-4
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Klubi-04
DLLWW
Season result split
23% W31% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KTP is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - KTP · 1.42 goals / match - Klubi-04

KTP is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - KTP · 1.42 goals / match - Klubi-04

KTP scoring profile: very strong

KTP scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Klubi-04 keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

Klubi-04 scoring profile: mixed

Klubi-04 scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).

48Goals scored (season)37
KTPKlubi-04
26Goals conceded (season)37
KTPKlubi-04
2.85Average goals in match2.85
KTPKlubi-04
12Goals scored (last 5)12
KTPKlubi-04
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
KTPKlubi-04

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal65%
KTPKlubi-04
58%2 goals35%
KTPKlubi-04
27%3 goals12%
KTPKlubi-04
8%4 goals12%
KTPKlubi-04

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal88%
KTPKlubi-04
19%2 goals46%
KTPKlubi-04
15%3 goals8%
KTPKlubi-04
8%4 goals0%
KTPKlubi-04

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time8%
KTPKlubi-04
12%BTTS in both halves0%
KTPKlubi-04
50%Scored in both halves19%
KTPKlubi-04

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
KTPKlubi-04
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
KTPKlubi-04
40%BTTS - last 560%
KTPKlubi-04

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
KTPKlubi-04
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
KTPKlubi-04
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
KTPKlubi-04

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
KTPKlubi-04
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
KTPKlubi-04
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
KTPKlubi-04

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KTP is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / match - KTP · 1.42 pts / match - Klubi-04

KTP - half-time state
42% leading38% draw19% trailing
Klubi-04 - half-time state
38% leading27% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per match (1st half)1.42
KTPKlubi-04
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.81
KTPKlubi-04
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
KTPKlubi-04
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.42
KTPKlubi-04
65%Clean sheet before half-time58%
KTPKlubi-04
38%No goal before half-time62%
KTPKlubi-04

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1
KTPKlubi-04
1.15Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
KTPKlubi-04
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
KTPKlubi-04
1.69Average goals (2nd half)1.42
KTPKlubi-04
65%Clean sheet after half-time42%
KTPKlubi-04
23%No goal after half-time54%
KTPKlubi-04

KTP - second-half results

58% W27% D15% L
43
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Klubi-04 - second-half results

15% W54% D31% L
37
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KTP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.40
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Klubi-04 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.80
Goals scored / match1.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+8-4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KTP
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
9
3
61-75
14
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Klubi-04
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
8
3
16-30
8
8
31-45
5
3
46-60
7
6
61-75
4
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KTP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Klubi-04

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KTPLigaKlubi-04
Average goals in match▲ 2.852.65▲ 2.85
Both teams scored• 46%45%▲ 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 46%31%▼ 12%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%67%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%74%▼ 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): KTP 2 - 0 - 0 Klubi-04. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do KTP and Klubi-04 play?

KTP face Klubi-04 on 17 October 2026 in Ykkösliiga at Arto Tolsa Areena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between KTP and Klubi-04?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches KTP won 2, Klubi-04 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KTP vs Klubi-04?

KTP score 1.85 goals per game on average and Klubi-04 1.42. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of KTP's matches and 54% of Klubi-04's.

What form are KTP and Klubi-04 in?

Over the last 5 games KTP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Klubi-04 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KTP vs Klubi-04?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.