Estonia - MeistriliigaKuressaare linnastaadionData current as of 18 October 2026

Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kuressaare play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion.

Current form

Kuressaare: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kuressaare scores 1.10 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.74 and concedes 0.71. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kuressaare 48%, Tallinna FC Levadia 61%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 55%, Tallinna FC Levadia 71%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.41 vs 1.48. Kuressaare: 11.8 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.9.

Match halves

Kuressaare: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.45.

Goals by minute

Kuressaare: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-7. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 43%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.1Goals scored / match2.74
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.58Goals conceded / match0.71
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
40%Average possession59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4.29Shots on target / match7.39
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.84Shots per match19.94
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4.29Shots on target7.39
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
9.3%Shot conversion13.8%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
40%Possession59%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.48xG for2.41
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.97xG against1.05
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Kuressaare: BalancedTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Kuressaare · 2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare
LLDWW
Season result split
32% W16% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-16
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Tallinna FC Levadia
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
77% W19% D3% L
Season (W-D-L)
24-6-1
2.52 pts / match · goal difference +63
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
13-3-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.23Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 149% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Kuressaare · 2.74 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Levadia is 123% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - Kuressaare · 0.71 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 55% of matches (17 of 31 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (31 of 31 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).

34Goals scored (season)85
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
49Goals conceded (season)22
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
2.68Average goals in match3.45
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
4Goals scored (last 5)15
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
7Goals conceded (last 5)2
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal100%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
35%2 goals74%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
19%3 goals48%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0%4 goals26%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal61%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
52%2 goals10%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
16%3 goals0%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
6%4 goals0%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 31 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time23%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
3%BTTS in both halves3%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
23%Scored in both halves61%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS26%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
20%BTTS - last 540%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time97%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Kuressaare · 2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare - half-time state
26% leading35% draw39% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
55% leading35% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)2
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.55Goals scored (1st half)1.29
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.65
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
52%Clean sheet before half-time68%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
61%No goal before half-time29%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)2.23
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1.45
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.81
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
32%Clean sheet after half-time68%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia
61%No goal after half-time10%
KuressaareTallinna FC Levadia

Kuressaare - second-half results

16% W39% D45% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

65% W29% D6% L
62
Half-time points
40
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+34
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kuressaare - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.40
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+7+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
11
4
0-15
18
3
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
15
3
61-75
19
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.07
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
206%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

KuressaareLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals in match▼ 2.683.11▲ 3.45
Both teams scored▼ 48%57%▲ 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%65%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▼ 16%23%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%88%▲ 97%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Kuressaare 0 - 0 - 7 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

When do Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia play?

Kuressaare face Tallinna FC Levadia on 18 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Kuressaare linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 7 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Kuressaare score 1.10 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.74. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Kuressaare's matches and 61% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.