Kuressaare vs Vaprus: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare played Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Kuressaare: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vaprus: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 1.04 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.35 and concedes 1.91. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 50%, Vaprus 70%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 54%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Kuressaare has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.12. Kuressaare: 11.7 shots per match, Vaprus: 8.3.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Vaprus: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (8 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-3. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kuressaare head into the match in clearly better form, having collected 9 points from their last 5 games, with 3 wins and 14 goals scored during that period, while Vaprus have accumulated 7 points and 12 goals. The key factor, however, is the visitors’ weakness away from home, where they lose 64% of their matches, concede an average of 2.18 goals and allow opponents an average xG of as much as 2.05. At home, the hosts create more chances, averaging 1.40 xG and 4.18 shots on target per match, compared with Vaprus’ 1.07 xG and 3.09 shots on target away from home. Kuressaare are not entirely consistent, as they fail to score in 55% of their home fixtures, but the visitors’ defensive weaknesses should increase their chances of ending that run. Vaprus sit higher in the table, yet their away record, featuring a -13 goal difference, supports a moderate lean towards the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal BTTS rate stands at 67% for Kuressaare and as high as 73% for Vaprus, well above the league average of 57%. Both defenses allow opponents plenty of chances: the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals with an xG against of 1.90, while the visitors concede 2.18 goals with an xG against of 2.05. Kuressaare score an average of 1.67 goals, compared with 1.00 for Vaprus, but over their last five matches, their scoring averages have risen to 2.8 and 2.4 respectively. Vaprus recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five games, while neither team keeps clean sheets consistently, with clean-sheet rates of just 25% and 18%. The weaker factor for this pick is Kuressaare’s 40% BTTS rate across their last five appearances; however, the high defensive vulnerability of both sides and their current attacking efficiency provide stronger support for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Kuressaare score an average of 1.67 goals per match, while Vaprus concede as many as 2.18, significantly strengthening the outlook for home-team goals. Vaprus average 1.00 goal scored, but Kuressaare’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.90, so the visitors should also create chances. In their last five matches, both teams have been more effective than their season averages: Kuressaare scored 14 goals and Vaprus 12, averaging 2.8 and 2.4 goals per game, respectively. The 1.5-goal line was surpassed in 83% of Kuressaare’s matches and 82% of Vaprus’ games, while the league average stands at a high 3.09 goals. Over 1.5 goals therefore has the strongest backing, both in terms of result consistency and the current attacking form of both teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kuressaare have a clear advantage in the first halves: they have led at the break in 42% of matches, compared with just 9% for Vaprus, while the visitors have been trailing at half-time in as many as 45% of games. The hosts score an average of 0.83 goals before the break and concede 0.75, whereas Vaprus score 0.55 and allow opponents an average of 1.00. In their last five matches, Kuressaare have been ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of cases, scoring an average of 1.6 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4. Over the full match, the hosts win 42% of their games compared with 27% for Vaprus, while their average goals scored stands at 1.67 versus 1.00 for the visitors. The 1/1 scenario is also supported by Vaprus’ weak defensive record: they concede an average of 2.18 goals per match and allow opponents an average xG of 2.05.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kuressaare is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kuressaare · 0.8 pts / match - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vaprus is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.35 goals / match - Vaprus
Kuressaare is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.91 goals / match - Vaprus
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Vaprus scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kuressaare
Over / Under - Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaprus is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.22 pts / match - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 65% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 89% | ▼ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Kuressaare 3 - 0 - 3 Vaprus. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 2:2 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Vaprus?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 3, Vaprus won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Vaprus?
Kuressaare score 1.04 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.35. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kuressaare's matches and 70% of Vaprus's.
What form are Kuressaare and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vaprus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Vaprus?
The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.