Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Nemesio Camacho El CampínData current as of 13 September 2026

La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

La Equidad play Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 17 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.

Current form

La Equidad: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

La Equidad scores 1.30 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 2.03 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: La Equidad 67%, Atlético Nacional 43%. Over 2.5: La Equidad 60%, Atlético Nacional 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.41. La Equidad: 13.3 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.8.

Match halves

La Equidad: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.30.

Goals by minute

La Equidad: 46-60 (10 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-5. Average goals 3.80, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.3Goals scored / match2.03
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.57Goals conceded / match0.83
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
46%Average possession57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
4.83Shots on target / match6.43
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.3Shots per match16.77
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
4.83Shots on target6.43
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
9.8%Shot conversion12.1%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
46%Possession57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.41xG for1.77
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.39xG against1.26
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

La Equidad: BalancedAtlético Nacional: Dominant
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - La Equidad · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-9
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Nacional
WLWWW
Season result split
73% W3% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-1-7
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-0-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.3 goals / match - La Equidad · 2.03 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - La Equidad · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad scoring profile: strong

La Equidad scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

39Goals scored (season)61
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47Goals conceded (season)25
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
2.87Average goals in match2.87
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
8Goals scored (last 5)12
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
37%2 goals67%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
17%3 goals33%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
3%4 goals17%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal67%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
50%2 goals10%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
13%3 goals7%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
3%4 goals0%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 30 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time23%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
7%BTTS in both halves0%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
23%Scored in both halves47%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
80%BTTS - last 560%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - La Equidad · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

La Equidad - half-time state
10% leading63% draw27% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
33% leading47% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)1.47
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.73
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.23
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%Clean sheet before half-time57%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
57%No goal before half-time50%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)2.13
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.3
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.63
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
43%Clean sheet after half-time70%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional
47%No goal after half-time30%
La EquidadAtlético Nacional

La Equidad - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
28
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

67% W13% D20% L
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+29
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding221%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

La Equidad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match2.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

La Equidad
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
2
16-30
7
11
31-45
10
7
46-60
6
11
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
6
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
11
6
46-60
12
2
61-75
16
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

La Equidad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
197%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

La EquidadLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals in match 2.872.55 2.87
Both teams scored 67%55% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%47% 67%
Clean sheets 20%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 70%
Goal after half-time 77%79% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): La Equidad 0 - 0 - 5 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Atlético Nacional
7 : 1
La Equidad
La Equidad
1 : 2
Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional
3 : 0
La Equidad
Club Atlético Nacional SA
3 : 1
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
0 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA

FAQ

When do La Equidad and Atlético Nacional play?

La Equidad face Atlético Nacional on 17 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Atlético Nacional?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0, Atlético Nacional won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional?

La Equidad score 1.30 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.03. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of La Equidad's matches and 43% of Atlético Nacional's.

What form are La Equidad and Atlético Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games La Equidad have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for La Equidad vs Atlético Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.