Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne play Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 8:0.
Current form
Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.17 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 39%, Dungannon Swifts 44%. Over 2.5: Larne 47%, Dungannon Swifts 59%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.42. Larne: 12.4 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 10.8.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.49.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Larne is the clear favorite: the league leaders have 24 wins and 65 goals this season, while Dungannon have 15 wins and 42 goals. At home Larne average 1.84 goals scored and concede 0.74 with an average xG of 1.62 and 5.11 shots on target, while visitors away score 0.78, concede 2.17 and have xG 1.23 with 3.44 shots on target. In the last 5 matches Larne have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (6 scored/6 conceded, averaging 1.4 points per game), whereas Dungannon have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (3 scored/12 conceded, 0.2 points per game). Additionally Larne record 58% clean sheets in home matches and only 11% of games without scoring, while Dungannon have 22% clean sheets away and as many as 50% of away games without a goal, which strongly underlines the visitors’ defensive weakness. Considering the higher efficiency (14% vs 8% conversion), superior xG and defensive stats (65-26 vs 42-69), I predict a Larne win and estimate 72% for the home side, 18% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Larne · 1.2 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Larne · 1.17 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Larne is 194% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Larne · 2 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 22% (9 of 41 matches).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 66% of matches (27 of 41 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Larne
Over / Under — Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Larne · 1.02 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Larne 2 - 0 - 1 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 8:0 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Dungannon Swifts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne score 1.92 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.17. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Larne's matches and 44% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Larne and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.