Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene: match statistics
Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leevon / PPK played Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Leevon / PPK: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Smiltene: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leevon / PPK scores 1.63 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.19 and concedes 2.69. League average: 3.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leevon / PPK 69%, Smiltene 56%. Over 2.5: Leevon / PPK 69%, Smiltene 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Leevon / PPK has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.23. Leevon / PPK: 12.3 shots per match, Smiltene: 8.9.
Match halves
Leevon / PPK: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.06. Smiltene: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Leevon / PPK: 46-60 (7 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.59 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leevon / PPK sit 4th and have won 10 of their 16 matches, while Smiltene are 13th with just 2 wins and 10 defeats. The hosts are particularly strong at home, winning 75% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and registering 4.75 shots on target per game, whereas the visitors average just 0.88 goals away from home. Smiltene’s defence concedes 2.75 goals per away match, have kept no clean sheets, and their average xG against stands at a high 2.06 compared with the hosts’ attacking xG of 1.62. Leevon / PPK have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Smiltene have lost 3 of their last 5 and fail to score in half of their away games. The difference in quality and efficiency, combined with the visitors’ extremely poor defensive record, strongly points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS pick is primarily supported by current form, as both teams have scored at both ends in 80% of their last 5 matches. During this period, Leevon / PPK averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Smiltene averaged 1.6, alongside the visitors’ high average of 2.4 goals conceded. Throughout the season, the hosts have allowed opponents 2.63 goals per match and recorded an average xG against of 1.97, clearly increasing Smiltene’s chances of finding the net despite their seasonal average of just 0.88 goals scored. Meanwhile, Smiltene have kept no clean sheets and conceded an average of 2.75 goals, so the hosts, with an xG of 1.38 and 4.88 shots on target per match, should find a way through. The seasonal BTTS rates stand at 63% for Leevon / PPK and 50% for Smiltene, while the recent form of both teams shifts the prediction towards a scenario with goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of this match points towards goals, as Leevon / PPK concede an average of 2.63 goals per game, while Smiltene concede as many as 2.75, with the visitors yet to keep a single clean sheet. In their last five matches, both teams recorded at least three goals in 80% of games, while their average goals scored stood at 1.8 and 1.6, respectively. Their attacking potential is further supported by the xG figures from the last five matches: 1.66 for the home side and 1.44 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of 3.20 total goals. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as at least two goals were scored in 75% of Leevon / PPK matches and 88% of Smiltene matches this season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Leevon / PPK win in the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 games and then scored an average of 1.0 goal after half-time. Current form clearly favours the hosts: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 goals per game over that period, while Smiltene lost 3 of their 5 outings and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. Leevon / PPK also have the better second-half record across their last five matches, conceding an average of 0.4 goals compared with 1.2 for the visitors. An initially cautious approach is likely, as both teams have led at the break in only 13% of their matches this season, but the hosts’ advantage should grow after the restart.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leevon / PPK | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leevon / PPK is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 1.2 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leevon / PPK is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 1.19 goals / match - Smiltene
Leevon / PPK is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 2.69 goals / match - Smiltene
Leevon / PPK scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Smiltene scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leevon / PPK is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 0.69 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leevon / PPK
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Leevon / PPK | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.81 | 3.59 | ▲ 3.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 69% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leevon / PPKGoalSho Saito
- Leevon / PPKAssistSho Saito
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Leevon / PPK 2 - 1 - 0 Smiltene. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Leevon / PPK 4:2 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leevon / PPK and Smiltene?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Leevon / PPK won 2, Smiltene won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene?
Leevon / PPK score 1.63 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.19. The 1. Liga average is 3.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Leevon / PPK's matches and 56% of Smiltene's.
What form are Leevon / PPK and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Leevon / PPK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Smiltene 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene?
The statistical background for Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.