Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiva Zagreb played Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.21 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.25 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiva Zagreb 71%, Varaždin 63%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiva Zagreb 46%, Varaždin 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.5 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.7.
Match halves
Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63. Varaždin: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). Varaždin: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiva Zagreb presents solid home form with 50% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, which constitutes a significant advantage over Varaždin. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.42 goals away and have won only 33% of their away matches. Varaždin is in poor form with just 0.8 points per match in the last five meetings, whereas Lokomotiva has 1.4 points. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 33% of away matches, which, given their negative goal difference (-4) in away games, speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a clear advantage, although Varaždin may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.46 goals / match - Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Varaždin scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.69 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 - 0 - 1 Varaždin. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1, Varaždin won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.21 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 63% of Varaždin's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.