Lumezzane vs Novara: match statistics
Lumezzane vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lumezzane played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 17 September 2026. Venue: Nuovo Stadio Comunale. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Lumezzane: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Novara: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lumezzane scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lumezzane 50%, Novara 50%. Over 2.5: Lumezzane 50%, Novara 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Lumezzane has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.34. Lumezzane: 13.3 shots per match, Novara: 11.5.
Match halves
Lumezzane: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Lumezzane: 31-45+ (2 goals). Novara: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lumezzane have endured a weaker overall spell, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7 in their last five matches, while Novara have scored 5 and conceded 4 over the same period. However, the hosts’ advantage is their only home fixture to date: a win, a clean sheet and 1 goal scored, supported by high-quality chance creation worth 2.22 xG. Lumezzane average 17 shots at home, including 6 on target, compared with Novara’s 13 attempts and 4 on target away from home. Novara have shown better recent consistency, recording 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches, but they have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home and have not scored in 50% of their matches. Home advantage and Lumezzane’s higher chance volume slightly tilt the prediction in favour of the hosts, although balanced defensive data increases the risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in only 40% of games, below the league average of 47%. Lumezzane scored just 0.8 goals per match during this period, while Novara conceded only 0.8 goals, clearly limiting the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Novara failed to score in 50% of their matches this season, so even despite Lumezzane’s weak defense, with 0% of matches ending with a clean sheet, the visitors do not provide a full guarantee of scoring. Although the average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.94 for Lumezzane and 1.17 for Novara, the two teams actually scored only 9 goals combined in this period. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one team fails to score — BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The projected total of 2.45 goals is based on the combination of both sides’ moderate attacking potential: Lumezzane’s average home xG is 1.29, while Novara’s away xG stands at 1.35. However, the last five matches have been less productive, with Lumezzane averaging 0.8 goals and Novara 1.0, while only 40% of both teams’ games featured at least three goals. The defenses are not completely watertight, as shown by the xG conceded in the last five matches—1.89 and 1.76 respectively—but the actual results indicate only 7 and 4 goals conceded during this period. The league averages 2.0 goals per match, and only 37% of games go Over 2.5, making a scenario with four or more goals clearly less likely. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as even in an open game, the data supports a result in the 1-3 goal range more strongly than a high-scoring exchange.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Novara win, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches. During this period, Novara scored just 0.2 goals before half-time, compared with 0.6 for Lumezzane, which points to a cautious and evenly balanced opening. After the interval, the visitors look significantly stronger: they average 0.8 goals against Lumezzane’s 0.2 and have not lost a second half in their last five matches. Overall form also favours Novara, who average 1.6 points per match compared with the hosts’ 0.8, while conceding 0.8 goals per game versus Lumezzane’s 1.4. The visitors’ superiority in chance creation is further reflected in their average xG of 1.35 compared with the opponents’ 1.29, as well as in their four shots on target per match versus the hosts’ one.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lumezzane | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Lumezzane · 1.25 goals / match - Novara
Lumezzane scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Novara scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lumezzane
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lumezzane is 400% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Lumezzane · 0.25 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lumezzane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lumezzane
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Lumezzane | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lumezzane 1 - 1 - 0 Novara. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lumezzane vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Lumezzane 0:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lumezzane and Novara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 1, Novara won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lumezzane vs Novara?
Lumezzane score 1.00 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lumezzane's matches and 50% of Novara's.
What form are Lumezzane and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Lumezzane have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novara 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lumezzane vs Novara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.