Lusitania Lourosa vs GD Chaves: match statistics
Lusitania Lourosa vs GD Chaves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lusitania Lourosa played GD Chaves in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lusitania Lourosa: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. GD Chaves: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.83 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. GD Chaves scores 0.83 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lusitania Lourosa 50%, GD Chaves 50%. Over 2.5: Lusitania Lourosa 50%, GD Chaves 67%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
GD Chaves has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.58. Lusitania Lourosa: 14.7 shots per match, GD Chaves: 15.2.
Match halves
Lusitania Lourosa: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.83. GD Chaves: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Lusitania Lourosa: 16-30 (4 goals). GD Chaves: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitania Lourosa top the table and remain unbeaten after six league matches, while 16th-placed GD Chaves have suffered four defeats. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals, while the visitors have lost all three of their away games so far. At home, Lusitania average 2 goals and 7 shots on target per match, whereas Chaves score just 0.33 goals from 2.33 shots on target away from home. The quality of chances created also favours the hosts: their home xG is 1.99, compared with Chaves' away xG of 1.35. Chaves concede an average of 2.33 goals on the road and have failed to score in 67% of their away matches, making a Lusitania win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Chaves’ away scoring record is the biggest obstacle to both teams finding the net: the visitors average 0.33 goals away from home and have failed to score in 67% of those matches. Lusitania average 1.33 goals at home, while Chaves concede 2.33 away, making a home goal more likely than an away one. The case for goals at both ends is supported by Chaves’ improvement over their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games. Even so, Lusitania’s home xG stands at 2.02 compared with Chaves’ away xG of 1.35, and the league-wide BTTS rate is 41%. I therefore give a slight edge to BTTS - No, meaning at least one team is expected to fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The hosts’ last 5 matches averaged 3.2 goals, while the visitors’ matches averaged 3.4; in both cases, 4 of 5 games finished with at least three goals. Lusitania scored an average of 2.2 goals during this period, while Chaves conceded 2.0, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. Their average xG is 2.02, and the visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals in the analyzed matches this season. However, Chaves score just 0.33 goals per game in these fixtures, making Over 1.5 goals a safer option than Over 2.5. Additionally, both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 67% of the analyzed matches this season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Lusitania Lourosa leading at the break and winning the match: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and won 4 of those 5. Chaves were trailing at the break in 2 of the 3 matches included in the away statistics, failing to score in either first half. The hosts’ attacking edge is reflected in an average xG of 2.02 compared with 1.35 for the visitors, as well as 6.00 shots on target per match compared with 2.33. Recent form also favours Lusitania holding their lead after the break: they averaged 1.0 goals in the second half, while Chaves conceded 1.4. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, having occurred once in three attempts in both the hosts’ and visitors’ matches in these datasets, but Lusitania’s advantage over the full match makes 1/1 the stronger pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lusitania Lourosa | GD Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lusitania Lourosa is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa · 0.8 pts / match - GD Chaves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitania Lourosa is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa · 0.83 goals / match - GD Chaves
Lusitania Lourosa is 224% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa · 2.17 goals / match - GD Chaves
Lusitania Lourosa scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while GD Chaves keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
GD Chaves scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lusitania Lourosa
Over / Under - GD Chaves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitania Lourosa is 181% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa · 0.83 pts / match - GD Chaves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
GD Chaves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lusitania Lourosa
GD Chaves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Lusitania Lourosa | Liga | GD Chaves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.36 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lusitania Lourosa 0 - 2 - 0 GD Chaves. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lusitania Lourosa vs GD Chaves?
The LigaPro match finished Lusitania Lourosa 1:1 GD Chaves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lusitania Lourosa and GD Chaves?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitania Lourosa won 0, GD Chaves won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lusitania Lourosa vs GD Chaves?
Lusitania Lourosa score 1.83 goals per game on average and GD Chaves 0.83. The LigaPro average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lusitania Lourosa's matches and 50% of GD Chaves's.
What form are Lusitania Lourosa and GD Chaves in?
Over the last 5 games Lusitania Lourosa have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and GD Chaves 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusitania Lourosa vs GD Chaves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.