Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 25 October 2026

Mathare United vs Tusker: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mathare United vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mathare United play Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 29 October 2026.

Current form

Mathare United: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match. Tusker: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mathare United scores 0.00 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Tusker scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 1.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mathare United 0%, Tusker 0%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 0%, Tusker 0%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Tusker has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.17. Mathare United: 5.3 shots per match, Tusker: 9.0.

Match halves

Mathare United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Tusker: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00.

Goals by minute

Mathare United: 0-15 (0 goals). Tusker: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0Goals scored / match2
Mathare UnitedTusker
0.33Goals conceded / match0
Mathare UnitedTusker
56%Average possession55%
Mathare UnitedTusker
1.67Shots on target / match4
Mathare UnitedTusker

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.33Shots per match9
Mathare UnitedTusker
1.67Shots on target4
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Shot conversion22.2%
Mathare UnitedTusker
56%Possession55%
Mathare UnitedTusker
1.17xG for1.47
Mathare UnitedTusker
1.42xG against1.12
Mathare UnitedTusker

Shooting quality

Mathare United: BalancedTusker: Efficient finishing
Mathare UnitedTusker
Accuracy (shots on target)31%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.220.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tusker is 348% better for: last-5 form.

0.67 pts / match - Mathare United · 3 pts / match - Tusker

Mathare United
DLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W67% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Tusker
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mathare United scoring profile: more difficult

Mathare United scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

Tusker scoring profile: strong

Tusker scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

0Goals scored (season)2
Mathare UnitedTusker
1Goals conceded (season)0
Mathare UnitedTusker
0.33Average goals in match2
Mathare UnitedTusker
0Goals scored (last 5)2
Mathare UnitedTusker
1Goals conceded (last 5)0
Mathare UnitedTusker

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%2 goals100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%3 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%2 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%3 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Scored in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%BTTS - last 50%
Mathare UnitedTusker

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

2nd half

33%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mathare United - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Tusker - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
Mathare UnitedTusker
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Mathare UnitedTusker
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Mathare UnitedTusker
0Average goals (1st half)0
Mathare UnitedTusker
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
100%No goal before half-time100%
Mathare UnitedTusker

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)3
Mathare UnitedTusker
0Goals scored (2nd half)2
Mathare UnitedTusker
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Mathare UnitedTusker
0.33Average goals (2nd half)2
Mathare UnitedTusker
67%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Mathare UnitedTusker
100%No goal after half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTusker

Mathare United - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tusker - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mathare United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.67
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.3
Average goals in match0.00.3
1 goal0%33%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%67%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Tusker - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.003.00
Goals scored / match0.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mathare United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
61%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
0%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mathare United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
233%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mathare UnitedLigaTusker
Average goals in match▼ 0.331.90▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%43%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%29%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 67%40%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%38%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 33%71%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Mathare United 2 - 2 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Mathare United
3 : 1
Tusker
Mathare United
3 : 1
Tusker
Tusker
0 : 0
Mathare United
Tusker
0 : 0
Mathare United

FAQ

When do Mathare United and Tusker play?

Mathare United face Tusker on 29 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mathare United and Tusker?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 2, Tusker won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Tusker?

Mathare United score 0.00 goals per game on average and Tusker 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mathare United's matches and 0% of Tusker's.

What form are Mathare United and Tusker in?

Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 0-2-1 record (0.67 points per game) and Tusker 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Tusker?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.