Mbarara City vs Vipers: match statistics
Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbarara City played Vipers in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mbarara City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vipers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbarara City scores 0.33 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Vipers scores 2.17 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbarara City 17%, Vipers 17%. Over 2.5: Mbarara City 17%, Vipers 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Vipers has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.42. Mbarara City: 9.8 shots per match, Vipers: 9.3.
Match halves
Mbarara City: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.00. Vipers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Mbarara City: 16-30 (1 goals). Vipers: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers sit 5th and are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and scoring 13 goals; Mbarara City are 13th and have won just 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 goals in that run. Away from home, the visitors have won both of their matches so far, averaging 4.5 goals and conceding none, although such a small sample calls for caution. Mbarara City remain unbeaten at home and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested game. However, the difference in attacking efficiency is clear: the hosts average 0.67 goals at home and have failed to score in 67% of those matches, while Vipers have scored in every away appearance. The teams' average xG in these conditions is closer—1.43 for the hosts compared with 1.54 for the visitors—but current form and finishing ability point to a Vipers win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator in favor of BTTS - No is Vipers’ effective defense: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far and conceded an average of just 0.2 goals across their last 5 games. Mbarara City scored only 0.4 goals per game over the same period and failed to score in 50% of their matches this season, making the hosts more likely to finish the match without a goal. Vipers have a clearly stronger attack, averaging 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches compared with Mbarara City’s 0.4. A Goal/Goal outcome cannot be ruled out, as the hosts’ average xG is 1.63 and Vipers allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.31 xG. Even so, BTTS landed in only 20% of each team’s last 5 matches, strengthening the case for BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Vipers have averaged 2.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while Mbarara City have scored just 0.4 goals per game over the same period. The visitors have recently averaged 1.66 xG compared with the hosts’ 1.30 xG, supporting the expectation of an attacking advantage for them, although this does not justify directly extrapolating their scoring average to this match. At least 2 goals have been scored in 100% of Vipers’ matches this season, compared with only 50% of Mbarara City’s, while the league average is 2.12 goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is a stronger pick than Over 2.5: it requires just 2 goals to land, and the projected total is 2.60.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vipers led at the break in both of their matches so far this season and won both, while Mbarara City were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 4 games. In their last five matches, the visitors went into the break with a lead three times, compared with just once for the hosts, which supports the case for Vipers to lead at half-time. The full-time result also favours the visitors: across their last five appearances, they scored an average of 2.6 goals and conceded 0.2, compared with Mbarara City's 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Vipers also averaged 1.6 goals after the break over this period, giving them a strong basis to maintain or extend their lead. However, the 2/2 pick still carries some uncertainty, as the visitors' season data covers only two matches and the teams' average xG figures are close: 1.54 for Vipers versus 1.63 for the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.09 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vipers is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mbarara City · 2.2 pts / match - Vipers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 558% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - Mbarara City · 2.17 goals / match - Vipers
Vipers is 152% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mbarara City · 0.33 goals / match - Vipers
Mbarara City scores in 17% of matches (1 of 6 matches), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
Vipers scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbarara City
Over / Under - Vipers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Mbarara City · 1.67 pts / match - Vipers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbarara City
Vipers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.17 | 2.24 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mbarara City 0 - 0 - 2 Vipers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Vipers?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 1:0 Vipers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mbarara City and Vipers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mbarara City won 0, Vipers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Mbarara City score 0.33 goals per game on average and Vipers 2.17. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Mbarara City's matches and 17% of Vipers's.
What form are Mbarara City and Vipers in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vipers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.