Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueAddis Ababa StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics

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Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mebrat Hayl play Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium.

Current form

Mebrat Hayl: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mebrat Hayl scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 0%, Negele Arsi Ketema 100%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 0%, Negele Arsi Ketema 0%. League level: BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 0%.

xG, shots and style

Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.17. Mebrat Hayl: 11.0 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 9.0.

Match halves

Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Mebrat Hayl: 0-15 (0 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.22 goals per match, BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 0%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored / match1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded / match1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Average possession51%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target / match2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match9
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Shot conversion11.1%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Possession51%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1.39xG for1.17
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1.04xG against1.42
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Mebrat Hayl: BalancedNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)27%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mebrat Hayl
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Negele Arsi Ketema
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl scoring profile: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: very strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

0Goals scored (season)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (season)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals in match2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (last 5)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 1 matches
22%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS - last 5100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

0%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%No goal before half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Average goals (2nd half)2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%No goal after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mebrat Hayl - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match1.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
455%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mebrat HaylLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals in match▼ 1.001.22▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%22%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 0%0%• 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%44%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%44%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 0%56%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.22
Average goals per match
22%
Both teams scored
0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
0.22
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+-78%
Home attack advantage
+-355%
Home defence advantage
+-67%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
44%
1 goal
0%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Mebrat Hayl 1 - 1 - 0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Negele Arsi Ketema
0 : 2
Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema

FAQ

When do Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema play?

Mebrat Hayl face Negele Arsi Ketema on 16 October 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League at Addis Ababa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mebrat Hayl won 1, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Mebrat Hayl score 0.00 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 0% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 100% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.