Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıŞəhər stadionuData current as of 21 October 2026

Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: match statistics

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Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mil Mugan FK play İnter Bakı in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Şəhər stadionu.

Current form

Mil Mugan FK: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. İnter Bakı: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mil Mugan FK scores 0.88 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. İnter Bakı scores 1.50 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mil Mugan FK 50%, İnter Bakı 75%. Over 2.5: Mil Mugan FK 50%, İnter Bakı 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Mil Mugan FK has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Mil Mugan FK: 10.9 shots per match, İnter Bakı: 9.3.

Match halves

Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38. İnter Bakı: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Mil Mugan FK: 16-30 (2 goals). İnter Bakı: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 0.33, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.88Goals scored / match1.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.63Goals conceded / match1.13
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
40%Average possession46%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
4.25Shots on target / match4
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.88Shots per match9.25
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
4.25Shots on target4
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
8%Shot conversion16.2%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
40%Possession46%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.23xG for1.22
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.63xG against1.48
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Shooting quality

Mil Mugan FK: Balancedİnter Bakı: Counter-attacking
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
Accuracy (shots on target)39%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

İnter Bakı is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 2.2 pts / match - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK
LLLLW
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
İnter Bakı
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W50% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-1
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-1
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

İnter Bakı is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.5 goals / match - İnter Bakı

İnter Bakı is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.13 goals / match - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: very strong

Mil Mugan FK scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

İnter Bakı scoring profile: strong

İnter Bakı scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

7Goals scored (season)12
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13Goals conceded (season)9
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
2.5Average goals in match2.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
5Goals scored (last 5)11
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%2 goals38%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%3 goals25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%4 goals13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%2 goals25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%3 goals13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%4 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%Scored in both halves13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

İnter Bakı is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.25 pts / match - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
İnter Bakı - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.25
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.13
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%No goal before half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per match (2nd half)1.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%No goal after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

İnter Bakı - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mil Mugan FK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
İnter Bakı - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

İnter Bakı
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-87%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

İnter Bakı

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

Mil Mugan FKLigaİnter Bakı
Average goals in match• 2.502.57• 2.63
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%46%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 38%32%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%65%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%78%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Mil Mugan FK 0 - 2 - 1 İnter Bakı. Average goals 0.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı play?

Mil Mugan FK face İnter Bakı on 25 October 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Şəhər stadionu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 0, İnter Bakı won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?

Mil Mugan FK score 0.88 goals per game on average and İnter Bakı 1.50. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 75% of İnter Bakı's.

What form are Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı in?

Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and İnter Bakı 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.