Malta - Maltese Premier LeagueData current as of 22 October 2026

Mosta vs Hibernians: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mosta vs Hibernians: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mosta play Hibernians in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 26 October 2026.

Current form

Mosta: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Hibernians: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mosta scores 1.44 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Hibernians scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mosta 67%, Hibernians 38%. Over 2.5: Mosta 44%, Hibernians 25%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Hibernians has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.09. Mosta: 8.0 shots per match, Hibernians: 8.1.

Match halves

Mosta: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Hibernians: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Mosta: 76-90+ (5 goals). Hibernians: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Maltese Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.44Goals scored / match0.88
MostaHibernians
1.44Goals conceded / match1.38
MostaHibernians
49%Average possession45%
MostaHibernians
3.56Shots on target / match3.38
MostaHibernians

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8Shots per match8.13
MostaHibernians
3.56Shots on target3.38
MostaHibernians
18.1%Shot conversion10.8%
MostaHibernians
49%Possession45%
MostaHibernians
1.09xG for1.11
MostaHibernians
1.5xG against1.28
MostaHibernians

Shooting quality

Mosta: Efficient finishingHibernians: Balanced
MostaHibernians
Accuracy (shots on target)45%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hibernians is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Mosta · 1 pts / match - Hibernians

Mosta
LDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W44% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-2
1.44 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Hibernians
LDLDW
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
WLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mosta is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Mosta · 0.88 goals / match - Hibernians

Mosta scoring profile: very strong

Mosta scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Hibernians scoring profile: strong

Hibernians scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
MostaHibernians
13Goals conceded (season)11
MostaHibernians
2.89Average goals in match2.25
MostaHibernians
7Goals scored (last 5)4
MostaHibernians
11Goals conceded (last 5)9
MostaHibernians

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal63%
MostaHibernians
44%2 goals25%
MostaHibernians
11%3 goals0%
MostaHibernians
0%4 goals0%
MostaHibernians

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal75%
MostaHibernians
44%2 goals38%
MostaHibernians
22%3 goals13%
MostaHibernians
0%4 goals13%
MostaHibernians

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time13%
MostaHibernians
0%BTTS in both halves13%
MostaHibernians
22%Scored in both halves25%
MostaHibernians

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
MostaHibernians
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
MostaHibernians
80%BTTS - last 540%
MostaHibernians

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
MostaHibernians
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
MostaHibernians
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MostaHibernians

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
MostaHibernians
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
MostaHibernians
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MostaHibernians

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hibernians is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Mosta · 1.38 pts / match - Hibernians

Mosta - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing
Hibernians - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.38
MostaHibernians
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MostaHibernians
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
MostaHibernians
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.13
MostaHibernians
44%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MostaHibernians
44%No goal before half-time50%
MostaHibernians

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1
MostaHibernians
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
MostaHibernians
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
MostaHibernians
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.13
MostaHibernians
44%Clean sheet after half-time38%
MostaHibernians
44%No goal after half-time63%
MostaHibernians

Mosta - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hibernians - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mosta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-6+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Hibernians - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mosta
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Hibernians
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mosta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Hibernians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).

Teams vs league

MostaLigaHibernians
Average goals in match▲ 2.892.77▼ 2.25
Both teams scored▲ 67%56%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 44%50%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▼ 22%24%• 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%77%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%88%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Mosta 1 - 1 - 2 Hibernians. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Mosta and Hibernians play?

Mosta face Hibernians on 26 October 2026 in Maltese Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mosta and Hibernians?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Mosta won 1, Hibernians won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mosta vs Hibernians?

Mosta score 1.44 goals per game on average and Hibernians 0.88. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Mosta's matches and 38% of Hibernians's.

What form are Mosta and Hibernians in?

Over the last 5 games Mosta have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Hibernians 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mosta vs Hibernians?

The statistical background for Mosta vs Hibernians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.