Finland - YkkösliigaMikkelin UrheilupuistoData current as of 17 October 2026

MP vs JäPS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MP vs JäPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MP play JäPS in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.

Current form

MP: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. JäPS: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

MP scores 1.08 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. JäPS scores 0.88 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MP 50%, JäPS 27%. Over 2.5: MP 38%, JäPS 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

MP has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.23. MP: 11.3 shots per match, JäPS: 10.1.

Match halves

MP: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.42. JäPS: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

MP: 76-90+ (9 goals). JäPS: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.25)
(3.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.08Goals scored / match0.88
MPJäPS
1.38Goals conceded / match1.54
MPJäPS
50%Average possession46%
MPJäPS
3.96Shots on target / match3.42
MPJäPS

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.27Shots per match10.08
MPJäPS
3.96Shots on target3.42
MPJäPS
9.6%Shot conversion8.8%
MPJäPS
50%Possession46%
MPJäPS
1.35xG for1.23
MPJäPS
1.56xG against1.57
MPJäPS

Shooting quality

MP: BalancedJäPS: Balanced
MPJäPS
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MP is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - MP · 1.2 pts / match - JäPS

MP
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W23% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-12
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%
JäPS
WLWLL
Season result split
42% W8% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-13
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MP is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - MP · 0.88 goals / match - JäPS

MP is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - MP · 1.54 goals / match - JäPS

MP scoring profile: strong

MP scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while JäPS keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).

JäPS scoring profile: strong

JäPS scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

28Goals scored (season)23
MPJäPS
36Goals conceded (season)40
MPJäPS
2.46Average goals in match2.42
MPJäPS
6Goals scored (last 5)5
MPJäPS
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
MPJäPS

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal62%
MPJäPS
27%2 goals19%
MPJäPS
8%3 goals8%
MPJäPS
0%4 goals0%
MPJäPS

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal58%
MPJäPS
35%2 goals46%
MPJäPS
23%3 goals27%
MPJäPS
4%4 goals15%
MPJäPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time8%
MPJäPS
4%BTTS in both halves0%
MPJäPS
12%Scored in both halves8%
MPJäPS

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
MPJäPS
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
MPJäPS
60%BTTS - last 540%
MPJäPS

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
MPJäPS
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
MPJäPS
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
MPJäPS

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
MPJäPS
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
MPJäPS
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
MPJäPS

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MP is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - MP · 1.19 pts / match - JäPS

MP - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
JäPS - half-time state
27% leading38% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.19
MPJäPS
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.38
MPJäPS
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MPJäPS
1.35Average goals (1st half)0.88
MPJäPS
54%Clean sheet before half-time58%
MPJäPS
50%No goal before half-time69%
MPJäPS

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.15
MPJäPS
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
MPJäPS
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
MPJäPS
1.12Average goals (2nd half)1.54
MPJäPS
58%Clean sheet after half-time46%
MPJäPS
65%No goal after half-time62%
MPJäPS

MP - second-half results

15% W54% D31% L
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

JäPS - second-half results

27% W35% D38% L
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
JäPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MP
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
4
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
0
6
46-60
2
3
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

JäPS
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
7
46-60
4
9
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

JäPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+15.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

MPLigaJäPS
Average goals in match▼ 2.462.65▼ 2.42
Both teams scored▲ 50%45%▼ 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%48%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 23%31%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▼ 54%74%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MP 1 - 0 - 1 JäPS. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do MP and JäPS play?

MP face JäPS on 17 October 2026 in Ykkösliiga at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MP and JäPS?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MP won 1, JäPS won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MP vs JäPS?

MP score 1.08 goals per game on average and JäPS 0.88. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of MP's matches and 27% of JäPS's.

What form are MP and JäPS in?

Over the last 5 games MP have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and JäPS 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs JäPS?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.