Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 October 2026.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Adama Kenema: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 1.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 33%, Adama Kenema 0%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 33%, Adama Kenema 0%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 11%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.05. Negele Arsi Ketema: 6.7 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.0.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 16-30 (2 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.37 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 11%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 166% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.5 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.67 | 1.37 | ▼ 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Negele Arsi Ketema 2 - 0 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema play?
Negele Arsi Ketema face Adama Kenema on 26 October 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Negele Arsi Ketema won 2, Adama Kenema won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.33 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 11% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 0% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Adama Kenema 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


