Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 22 October 2026

Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: match statistics

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Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Negele Arsi Ketema play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 October 2026.

Current form

Negele Arsi Ketema: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Adama Kenema: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 1.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 33%, Adama Kenema 0%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 33%, Adama Kenema 0%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 11%.

xG, shots and style

Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.05. Negele Arsi Ketema: 6.7 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.0.

Match halves

Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Negele Arsi Ketema: 16-30 (2 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.37 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 11%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.33Goals scored / match0.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.33Goals conceded / match0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
47%Average possession46%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
2.33Shots on target / match2
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.67Shots per match6
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
2.33Shots on target2
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
20%Shot conversion8.3%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
47%Possession46%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.11xG for1.05
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.19xG against1.28
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Shooting quality

Negele Arsi Ketema: Counter-attackingAdama Kenema: Balanced
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.570.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Adama Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.67 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema
DDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%
Adama Kenema
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 166% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.5 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: more difficult

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).

Adama Kenema scoring profile: more difficult

Adama Kenema scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)1
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1Goals conceded (season)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.67Average goals in match0.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1Goals conceded (last 5)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%2 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%3 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%2 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 3 matches
32%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%Scored in both halves0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%BTTS - last 50%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Adama Kenema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Adama Kenema - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)2
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
67%No goal before half-time50%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1Average goals (2nd half)0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
67%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
33%No goal after half-time100%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Adama Kenema - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.671.67
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.00.3
Average goals in match0.71.0
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%67%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Adama Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.50.0
1 goal50%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 0.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+176%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
317%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Negele Arsi KetemaLigaAdama Kenema
Average goals in match▲ 1.671.37▼ 0.50
Both teams scored• 33%32%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 33%11%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 67%42%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%42%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 67%63%▼ 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.37
Average goals per match
32%
Both teams scored
11%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
0.42
Home goals / match
0.95
Away goals / match
+-56%
Home attack advantage
+-126%
Home defence advantage
+-36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
42%
1 goal
5%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Negele Arsi Ketema 2 - 0 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema play?

Negele Arsi Ketema face Adama Kenema on 26 October 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Negele Arsi Ketema won 2, Adama Kenema won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.33 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 11% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 0% of Adama Kenema's.

What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Adama Kenema 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?

The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.