Estonia - MeistriliigaHiiu staadionData current as of 07 September 2026

Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nõmme Kalju play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 8 September 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion.

Current form

Nõmme Kalju: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nõmme United: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme Kalju scores 1.77 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.62 and concedes 2.35. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 54%, Nõmme United 81%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 46%, Nõmme United 88%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.47. Nõmme Kalju: 15.6 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.5.

Match halves

Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.77. Nõmme United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.47)
(4.60)
(5.29)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.77Goals scored / match1.62
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.92Goals conceded / match2.35
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
53%Average possession47%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
5.42Shots on target / match4.04
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.62Shots per match11.5
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
5.42Shots on target4.04
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
11.3%Shot conversion14%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
53%Possession47%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.85xG for1.47
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.4xG against2.08
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Shooting quality

Nõmme Kalju: AttackingNõmme United: Counter-attacking
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme Kalju
WWLLL
Season result split
50% W19% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.07Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Nõmme United
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W4% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-17
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 2.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme Kalju is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.77 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.62 goals / match - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju is 155% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.35 goals / match - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 26 matches).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).

46Goals scored (season)42
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
24Goals conceded (season)61
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
2.69Average goals in match3.96
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8Goals scored (last 5)2
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal81%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
42%2 goals38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
23%3 goals19%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
12%4 goals8%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal100%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
19%2 goals65%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8%3 goals38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0%4 goals15%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time35%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
27%Scored in both halves19%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS77%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.85 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.88 pts / match - Nõmme United

Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
50% leading35% draw15% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
19% leading31% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.85Points per match (1st half)0.88
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)1.15
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.77
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
73%Clean sheet before half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
42%No goal before half-time54%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.15
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)1
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)1.19
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
1.35Average goals (2nd half)2.19
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
54%Clean sheet after half-time23%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United
46%No goal after half-time46%
Nõmme KaljuNõmme United

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

35% W35% R31% P
48
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nõmme United - second-half results

31% W23% R46% P
23
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme Kalju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
11
5
16-30
10
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
14
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+80%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.96
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme KaljuLigaNõmme United
Average goals in match 2.693.10 3.96
Both teams scored 54%59% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%65% 88%
Clean sheets 35%22% 0%
Goal before half-time 69%75% 88%
Goal after half-time 81%88% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Nõmme Kalju 2 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United play?

Nõmme Kalju face Nõmme United on 8 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Hiiu staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Nõmme United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?

Nõmme Kalju score 1.77 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.62. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 81% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.