Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju played Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 8 September 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nõmme United: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.77 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.62 and concedes 2.35. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 54%, Nõmme United 81%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 46%, Nõmme United 88%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.48. Nõmme Kalju: 15.6 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.6.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.77. Nõmme United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nõmme Kalju sit 3rd, while Nõmme United are only 9th, and the overall season record clearly favors the hosts: 13 wins and 45 goals scored compared with the visitors’ 8 victories and 60 goals conceded. At home, Kalju average 2.23 goals per match and create chances worth 1.93 xG, whereas United concede as many as 2.75 goals away from home, with 2.18 xG allowed. The hosts average 16.38 shots, including 6.23 on target, while the visitors manage just 10 attempts and 3.33 shots on target. Kalju’s defense is not flawless, conceding 1.15 goals per home match, and both teams have won only 2 of their last 5 games, but United have kept no clean sheets away from home. The last five matches also highlight Kalju’s greater attacking potential, with 17 goals scored compared with Nõmme United’s 7, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are very high: Nõmme Kalju record 85%, while Nõmme United stand at 83%, both clearly above the league average of 59%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.08 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75 goals per match. Kalju score an average of 2.00 goals, compared with 1.33 for United, while their average xG figures are 1.65 and 1.27 respectively, providing a solid basis to expect goals at both ends. The hosts’ recent form lowers confidence, as BTTS landed in only 40% of their last five matches, but United conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 2.48. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for both teams, especially given that 85% of Kalju’s matches and 75% of United’s fixtures featured at least three goals along with BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nõmme Kalju matches went over 1.5 goals in 92% of cases, while Nõmme United matches did so in all of their appearances to date. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.08 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75. Kalju are particularly dangerous in their current form: they have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.4 per game, with an xG of 2.12. The 2.5 line is also strongly supported, as it was covered in 92% of matches involving both teams, but Over 1.5 offers the highest probability and the safest edge. The projected 3.60 goals stems from Kalju’s high attacking potential and the visitors’ highly vulnerable defence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nõmme Kalju have a clearly stronger first-half profile in their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 60% of games, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.4, while Nõmme United averaged 0.8 goals before half-time. Over the course of the season, the hosts have also created more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with their opponents’ 1.27, and registered 4.92 shots on target per match versus 3.33 for the visitors. Kalju’s advantage should continue after the break, as they score an average of 1.31 goals in the second half, while United concede as many as 1.58. Both defences are vulnerable to conceding, but Kalju have been significantly more effective recently, averaging 3.4 goals per match compared with Nõmme United’s 1.4. The most likely scenario is therefore that the hosts take the lead at the break and see out the victory. The recommended HT/FT selection is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.62 goals / match - Nõmme United
Nõmme Kalju is 155% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.35 goals / match - Nõmme United
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 26 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.88 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 65% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 88% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Nõmme UnitedYellow cardTristin Evans
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nõmme Kalju 2 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 1:2 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Nõmme United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.77 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.62. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 81% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.