Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju played Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.79 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.65 and concedes 0.78. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 50%, Tallinna FC Levadia 70%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 42%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.45 vs 1.84. Nõmme Kalju: 15.5 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 21.0.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.35.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 16-30 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia top the table and have won 17 of their 23 matches this season, suffering just one defeat, while Nõmme Kalju have 13 wins and 6 losses. The visitors have been particularly strong away from home: they win 83% of their matches, have yet to lose, score an average of 2.42 goals and concede just 0.92. Their superiority in chance creation is clear, with an average away xG of 2.64 compared with Kalju’s 1.93 at home, while Levadia’s opponents generate just 0.98 xG. However, the hosts are in excellent current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 22 goals in that run, giving them genuine attacking credentials. Nevertheless, Levadia average 22.75 shots and 7.92 shots on target per away match, compared with Kalju’s 16.33 and 6.33 at home, which points to a higher probability of a victory for the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for both teams to score is the attacking output: Nõmme Kalju average 2.91 goals, while Levadia average 2.42, with very high xG figures of 2.24 and 2.64 respectively. The hosts are in excellent goalscoring form, netting 22 goals in their last five matches, while Levadia have averaged as much as 2.98 xG during this period. Levadia have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their matches and have seen BTTS land in 92% of their games this season, so an in-form Kalju should find the back of the net. The risk to the pick is the hosts’ defence, which concedes just 0.64 goals on average and keeps a clean sheet in 55% of matches; however, the visitors’ consistent attacking threat and their 7.92 shots on target per match support the expectation that Levadia will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The signal for at least two goals is very strong: Nõmme Kalju surpassed this line in 100% of their league matches, while Levadia did so in 92%. Both teams have scored at least once in every match this season, with scoring averages of 2.91 and 2.42 goals per game, respectively. Their attacking potential is confirmed by high xG averages: 2.24 for the home side and 2.64 for the visitors, which results in a projected total of 3.45 goals despite Kalju’s solid defense. In their last five matches, Kalju scored as many as 4.4 goals per game, while Levadia averaged 2.6, meaning the attacking tempo remains clearly above the league average of 3.09 goals. The Over 1.5 line offers the greatest value, as it requires only two goals, while the season data and current form point to significantly higher goal potential.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nõmme Kalju start matches exceptionally strongly: they have led at half-time in 8 of 11 games, or 73%, averaging 1.45 goals scored and just 0.09 conceded before the break. Tallinna FC Levadia have been excellent over the season as a whole, with an 83% win rate and an average of 2.42 goals scored, but away from home they have led at half-time in only 42% of matches and conceded 0.58 goals before the break. Current form further favours the hosts: in their last five outings, they have won 80% of matches, scoring as many as 3.2 goals in the first halves and conceding none. Kalju also have the defensive edge over the full 90 minutes, keeping a clean sheet in 55% of matches compared with Levadia’s mere 8%. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the hosts to lead at the break and maintain their winning advantage until full-time—an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.65 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Nõmme Kalju scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (23 of 23 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.04 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 89% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Nõmme Kalju 2 - 2 - 2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 2:3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Tallinna FC Levadia won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.79 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 70% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.