Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United played Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Salaspils sporta nama stadions. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Ogre United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rīgas FS: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 1.00 and concedes 2.62 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 2.50 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 65%, Rīgas FS 46%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 65%, Rīgas FS 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.19. Ogre United: 10.6 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.2.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.54. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.35.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). Rīgas FS: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS are the league leaders with 21 wins from 26 matches, while Ogre United have won just 3 games and suffered 18 defeats. The visitors win as many as 92% of their away matches, averaging 1.77 goals scored and just 0.62 conceded, whereas the hosts lose 58% of their home fixtures and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. The difference in the quality of chances created is very clear: Rīgas FS average 2.04 xG away from home compared with Ogre United’s 1.13, while their xG against stands at 0.89 and 2.03, respectively. The hosts are also in extremely poor form, having collected just 1 point and conceded 16 goals in their last five matches, while Rīgas FS have scored 12 goals during the same period. The visitors’ advantage in possession—63% compared with 45%—and shots on target per match, 6.31 to 2.67, strongly points to an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is strengthened by their recent form: Ogre United had BTTS in 80% of their previous five matches, while Rīgas FS recorded it in 60%. During this period, the hosts conceded as many as 3.2 goals per match, with an xG against them of 1.93, while the visitors scored an average of 2.4 goals, making a Rīgas FS goal highly likely. Ogre United scored only 1.2 goals per match in their last five fixtures, but created 1.64 xG and averaged 6.08 shots on target during the season, providing solid grounds for expecting a home goal. The pick carries some risk, as Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 62% of matches and has a seasonal BTTS rate of only 38%; however, the visitors’ current defensive record allows 1.4 goals per match, so BTTS - Yes is marginally preferred.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals, as Ogre United matches have averaged 3.23 goals this season, with the two-goal line exceeded in 92% of their games. The hosts’ recent form also suggests an open game: over their last 5 appearances, they scored 1.2 goals but conceded as many as 3.2 per match, producing an average of 4.4 goals. Rīgas FS scored 2.4 goals per game during this period, while Ogre United allowed opponents an average of 1.93 xG across their last five matches. However, the visitors have been defensively solid over the longer term, conceding an average of 0.62 goals and keeping 62% clean sheets, making Over 2.5 goals significantly less reliable than Over 1.5. The projected total of 3.05 goals is based primarily on the strong likelihood that Rīgas FS will make a significant contribution to clearing the lowest line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS have won 92% of their matches this season and average 2.77 points per game, while Ogre United have failed to win any of their last five league matches, collecting just 0.2 points per game. During this period, the hosts scored only 1.2 goals per match while conceding as many as 3.2, whereas Rīgas FS averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The visitors also hold an advantage in chance quality: their average xG stands at 2.04 compared with Ogre’s 1.89, while defensively they allow just 0.89 xG, compared with 0.95 for the hosts. Rīgas FS led at the break in 8 of their 13 matches, or 62%, making a Half-Time/Full-Time 1/1 outcome the most likely scenario, with the visitors expected to lead at half-time and maintain their winning result through to the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ogre United · 2.2 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ogre United · 2.5 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 240% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.62 goals / match - Ogre United · 0.77 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Ogre United scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 96% of matches (25 of 26 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ogre United
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 190% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Ogre United · 2 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 12%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.62 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ogre United 0 - 0 - 3 Rīgas FS. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 0:3 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and Rīgas FS?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ogre United won 0, Rīgas FS won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Ogre United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 2.50. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Ogre United's matches and 46% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are Ogre United and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rīgas FS 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


