Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Gradski vrtData current as of 16 October 2026

Osijek vs Gorica: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Osijek vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Osijek play Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt.

Current form

Osijek: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gorica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Osijek scores 2.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Gorica scores 0.67 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Osijek 44%, Gorica 44%. Over 2.5: Osijek 67%, Gorica 44%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Osijek has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.25. Osijek: 17.4 shots per match, Gorica: 10.3.

Match halves

Osijek: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67. Gorica: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Osijek: 0-15 (7 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 1.40, BTTS 20%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.67)
(3.75)
(4.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match0.67
OsijekGorica
1.56Goals conceded / match1.56
OsijekGorica
55%Average possession46%
OsijekGorica
5.56Shots on target / match3.11
OsijekGorica

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.44Shots per match10.33
OsijekGorica
5.56Shots on target3.11
OsijekGorica
11.5%Shot conversion6.5%
OsijekGorica
55%Possession46%
OsijekGorica
1.91xG for1.25
OsijekGorica
1.56xG against1.86
OsijekGorica

Shooting quality

Osijek: DominantGorica: Balanced
OsijekGorica
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Osijek is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Osijek · 1 pts / match - Gorica

Osijek
WLWDL
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Gorica
DLDWL
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Osijek is 199% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Osijek · 0.67 goals / match - Gorica

Osijek scoring profile: very strong

Osijek scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Gorica scoring profile: mixed

Gorica scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

18Goals scored (season)6
OsijekGorica
14Goals conceded (season)14
OsijekGorica
3.56Average goals in match2.22
OsijekGorica
9Goals scored (last 5)4
OsijekGorica
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
OsijekGorica

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal56%
OsijekGorica
44%2 goals11%
OsijekGorica
33%3 goals0%
OsijekGorica
22%4 goals0%
OsijekGorica

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal78%
OsijekGorica
44%2 goals67%
OsijekGorica
33%3 goals11%
OsijekGorica
22%4 goals0%
OsijekGorica

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
OsijekGorica
0%BTTS in both halves0%
OsijekGorica
33%Scored in both halves0%
OsijekGorica

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
OsijekGorica
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
OsijekGorica
60%BTTS - last 540%
OsijekGorica

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
OsijekGorica
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
OsijekGorica
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
OsijekGorica

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
OsijekGorica
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
OsijekGorica
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
OsijekGorica

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osijek is 406% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Osijek · 0.33 pts / match - Gorica

Osijek - half-time state
44% leading33% draw22% trailing
Gorica - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.33
OsijekGorica
1.33Goals scored (1st half)0
OsijekGorica
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)1
OsijekGorica
1.89Average goals (1st half)1
OsijekGorica
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
OsijekGorica
33%No goal before half-time100%
OsijekGorica

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.22
OsijekGorica
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
OsijekGorica
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
OsijekGorica
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.22
OsijekGorica
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
OsijekGorica
56%No goal after half-time44%
OsijekGorica

Osijek - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gorica - second-half results

11% W89% D0% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Osijek - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Osijek
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Osijek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 39% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

OsijekLigaGorica
Average goals in match▲ 3.563.16▼ 2.22
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 67%66%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%75%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%80%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Osijek 2 - 2 - 1 Gorica. Average goals 1.40, both teams scored in 20% matches.

FAQ

When do Osijek and Gorica play?

Osijek face Gorica on 17 October 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Gradski vrt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Osijek and Gorica?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek won 2, Gorica won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Gorica?

Osijek score 2.00 goals per game on average and Gorica 0.67. The Prva HNL average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Osijek's matches and 44% of Gorica's.

What form are Osijek and Gorica in?

Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Gorica?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Osijek vs Gorica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.