Osijek vs Varaždin: match statistics
Osijek vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Osijek play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 20:15. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Osijek: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Osijek scores 0.75 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Osijek 31%, Varaždin 61%. Over 2.5: Osijek 31%, Varaždin 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.37. Osijek: 12.4 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.5.
Match halves
Osijek: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Osijek: 31-45+ (7 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a draw because the home side records 43% draws at home and fail to score in 57% of home matches, which significantly increases the likelihood of a goalless or low-scoring split. Osijek creates a lot of chances (home average xG 1.60, 12.71 shots and 3.36 on target per match) but converts that into just 0.71 goals per game with a finishing rate of 6%. Varaždin sit higher (4th), have 37 goals this season and score 1.07 goals on average away with a 10% conversion rate, and in the last 5 matches they scored 7 goals versus the hosts’ 3, indicating superior attacking efficiency. Defensively the hosts concede 1.14 goals at home on average and keep 50% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 1.43 away and keep clean sheets in only 14% of away matches, which together suggest a low-scoring game with a realistic chance for the visitors to score. Considering this, I assess the probability of a draw at 45%, an away win at 35% and a home win at 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Osijek | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varaždin is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Osijek · 1.4 pts / match - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Osijek · 1.31 goals / match - Varaždin
Varaždin is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Osijek · 1.28 goals / match - Varaždin
Osijek scores in 53% of matches (19 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Osijek
Over / Under — Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Osijek · 1.44 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Osijek
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Osijek | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.66 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Osijek 0 - 2 - 1 Varaždin. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Osijek vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Osijek 0:2 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Osijek and Varaždin?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Osijek won 0, Varaždin won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Varaždin?
Osijek score 0.75 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.31. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Osijek's matches and 61% of Varaždin's.
What form are Osijek and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Varaždin?
The statistical background for Osijek vs Varaždin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.