Estonia - MeistriliigaPaide linnastaadionData current as of 02 September 2026

Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paide play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion.

Current form

Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 1.67 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 71%, Tallinna FC Levadia 71%. Over 2.5: Paide 54%, Tallinna FC Levadia 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.45 vs 1.74. Paide: 14.6 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 21.0.

Match halves

Paide: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.96. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.42.

Goals by minute

Paide: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 16-30 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 83%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.67Goals scored / match2.67
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.29Goals conceded / match0.83
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
56%Average possession59%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
4.58Shots on target / match7.29
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.63Shots per match21
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
4.58Shots on target7.29
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
11.4%Shot conversion12.7%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
56%Possession59%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.74xG for2.45
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.53xG against1.04
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Paide: DominantTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paide · 2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Paide
LWDWW
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-6
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.20Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Tallinna FC Levadia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W21% R4% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-5-1
2.46 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-2-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 3.01Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Paide · 2.67 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Levadia is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Paide · 0.83 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (24 of 24 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

40Goals scored (season)64
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
31Goals conceded (season)20
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
2.96Average goals in match3.5
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
10Goals scored (last 5)15
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal100%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
46%2 goals75%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
21%3 goals46%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
8%4 goals21%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal71%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
29%2 goals13%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
13%3 goals0%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
4%4 goals0%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 24 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time25%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
8%BTTS in both halves4%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
38%Scored in both halves63%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
80%BTTS - last 560%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Paide · 1.96 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Paide - half-time state
29% leading54% draw17% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
54% leading33% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.96
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1.25
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
46%No goal before half-time29%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)2.13
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)1.42
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.83
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia
25%No goal after half-time8%
PaideTallinna FC Levadia

Paide - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

58% W38% R4% P
47
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.603.00
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-5+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.403.00
Goals scored / match1.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
13
3
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
12
3
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
92%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
199%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals in match 2.963.11 3.50
Both teams scored 71%59% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%66% 75%
Clean sheets 21%22% 29%
Goal before half-time 63%75% 83%
Goal after half-time 92%89% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Paide 2 - 1 - 3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 83% matches.

Paide
1 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 2
Paide
Tallinna FC Levadia
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia

FAQ

When do Paide and Tallinna FC Levadia play?

Paide face Tallinna FC Levadia on 6 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Paide won 2, Tallinna FC Levadia won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Paide score 1.67 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Paide's matches and 71% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Paide and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.