Paide vs Tammeka: match statistics
Paide vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide played Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Paide: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tammeka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.37 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 63%, Tammeka 47%. Over 2.5: Paide 50%, Tammeka 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.56. Paide: 14.7 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.1.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.93. Tammeka: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Paide: 76-90+ (12 goals). Tammeka: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 6-0-1. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 14%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide have the home advantage: they have won 57% of their home matches, while Tammeka have lost 47% of their away fixtures. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal per game at home, compared with 2 for the visitors away from home, which could prove decisive given the similar number of chances created. The teams’ average xG figures are comparable—1.78 for Paide and 1.73 for Tammeka—but the hosts convert shots into goals more often (10% versus 9%). In their last five matches, Paide recorded 3 wins and conceded 5 goals, while Tammeka won twice and conceded 13. This defensive disparity points to a Paide win, although the visitors’ attacking potential means an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely, as Paide average 1.21 goals at home, while Tammeka concede 2.00 goals per away match. The visitors also have a case for scoring: they average 1.33 goals away from home and generate an xG of 1.73, while Paide allow opponents an xG of 1.62. Over their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 1.6 goals scored, although Tammeka conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match, which particularly strengthens the hosts' chances of finding the net. However, the signal is not decisive: the season-long rate of matches in which both teams scored is 50% for Paide and 47% for Tammeka, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes remains moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 73% of Tammeka’s matches and 57% of Paide’s. Tammeka concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and have shipped 13 goals in their last five fixtures, boosting the hosts’ chances of getting on the scoresheet. The visitors can also contribute, having created chances worth an average of 1.73 xG, while Paide allow opponents 1.62 xG. The combined forecast stands at 3.15 goals, close to the league average of 3.14, but higher lines are less reliable: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Paide’s matches and 60% of Tammeka’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favor of Paide leading at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their 5 matches, while Tammeka were trailing at that point in 3 of their 5 games. During this period, the visitors conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, compared with just 0.2 for Paide, increasing the likelihood of an early home lead. Paide’s second-half record this season also supports them holding on to that lead: they score an average of 0.86 goals and concede 0.43, while Tammeka score 0.53 and concede 0.60. In their last five matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game, compared with 1.0 for Paide, making a home win appear more likely. However, this is not a certain pick: Paide were level at half-time in 50% of their matches this season, so a draw at the break followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Paide · 1.2 pts / match - Tammeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.37 goals / match - Tammeka
Paide is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Paide · 1.57 goals / match - Tammeka
Paide scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Tammeka scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paide
Over / Under - Tammeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Paide · 1.1 pts / match - Tammeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Tammeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Paide 6 - 0 - 1 Tammeka. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 14% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Tammeka?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 2:1 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tammeka?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Paide won 6, Tammeka won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tammeka?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.37. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Paide's matches and 47% of Tammeka's.
What form are Paide and Tammeka in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tammeka 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tammeka?
The statistical background for Paide vs Tammeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.