Paksi SE vs MTK: match statistics
Paksi SE vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paksi SE played MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Paksi SE: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. MTK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paksi SE scores 2.00 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. MTK scores 1.88 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paksi SE 75%, MTK 88%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 63%, MTK 88%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.73. Paksi SE: 13.6 shots per match, MTK: 13.3.
Match halves
Paksi SE: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00. MTK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Paksi SE: 46-60 (5 goals). MTK: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paksi SE have a slight home advantage: they average 2.5 goals per match at home with an xG of 2.24, while MTK average 2 goals and an xG of 1.57 away from home. The hosts average 16.75 shots at home, compared with 10.67 for the visitors away, suggesting more chances for Paksi despite MTK’s higher shot conversion rate (19% vs. 15%). Paksi’s case is also strengthened by the recent head-to-head record: they have won three of the last five meetings, compared with two wins for MTK. However, the risk of a draw remains significant, as all three of MTK’s away matches so far have ended level. Both teams concede an average of 2 goals per match in these circumstances, so Paksi’s edge in chance creation does not guarantee a win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams score regularly: Paksi SE average 1.8 goals and MTK 2.0, with neither side having failed to score in any match so far. BTTS has landed in 80% of the home side’s matches and 100% of the away side’s, well above the league average of 66%. The defensive numbers further support goals at both ends: Paksi concede an average of 1.6 goals, while MTK concede 2.0, and the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.6 goals per game, with average xG of 2.03 and 1.81 respectively, confirming their potential to create chances. Although BTTS in the home side’s matches fell to 60% over this period, it remained at 80% for the visitors, making BTTS - Yes the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Paksi average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while MTK average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away, pointing to scoring potential on both sides. In Paksi’s home matches and MTK’s away matches so far, the 1.5-goal line has been exceeded in 100% of cases. The xG figures also support further goals: Paksi average 1.82 xG against 1.72 conceded by MTK, while MTK average 1.57 xG against 1.38 conceded by the hosts. The Over 2.5 goals line also looks promising, but it has landed in 100% of Paksi’s home matches and 67% of MTK’s away games, making Over 1.5 goals the clearly stronger pick. The forecast of 3.60 total goals supports this assessment, though it does not determine the outcome of any single match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Paksi SE were level at the break in 3 of the 5 included home matches, while MTK were level in 3 of their last 5 games. The hosts average just 0.4 goals before half-time, although MTK average 1.33 goals in that period, so an away lead at the break cannot be ruled out. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Paksi SE, who average 1.4 goals compared with MTK's 0.67 and won the second half in 60% of the included home matches. Recent results support this: the hosts averaged 2.0 points across five matches, compared with the visitors' 1.4, while their xG stands at 1.82 versus MTK's 1.57. Therefore, the scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win at full-time has the strongest backing in the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paksi SE | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paksi SE is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1 pts / match - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.88 goals / match - MTK
MTK is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.13 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.75 goals / match - MTK
Paksi SE scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
MTK scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paksi SE
Over / Under - MTK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.25 pts / match - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paksi SE
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Paksi SE | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 18% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Paksi SE 3 - 0 - 0 MTK. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paksi SE vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Paksi SE 3:0 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and MTK?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 3, MTK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs MTK?
Paksi SE score 2.00 goals per game on average and MTK 1.88. The NB I average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Paksi SE's matches and 88% of MTK's.
What form are Paksi SE and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and MTK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs MTK?
The statistical background for Paksi SE vs MTK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.