Italy - Serie BStadio Renzo BarberaData current as of 18 September 2026

Palermo vs Calcio Padova: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Palermo vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Palermo play Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Current form

Palermo: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Calcio Padova: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.

Goal statistics

Palermo scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Palermo 75%, Calcio Padova 50%. Over 2.5: Palermo 50%, Calcio Padova 25%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.18. Palermo: 14.0 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 10.3.

Match halves

Palermo: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.00. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Palermo: 0-15 (2 goals). Calcio Padova: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.55)
(4.20)
(5.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PalermoCalcio Padova
2Goals scored / match1
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals conceded / match1
PalermoCalcio Padova
51%Average possession41%
PalermoCalcio Padova
5Shots on target / match3.75
PalermoCalcio Padova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match10.25
PalermoCalcio Padova
5Shots on target3.75
PalermoCalcio Padova
14.3%Shot conversion9.8%
PalermoCalcio Padova
51%Possession41%
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.61xG for1.18
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.56xG against1.7
PalermoCalcio Padova

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCalcio Padova: Balanced
PalermoCalcio Padova
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palermo is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2.5 pts / match - Palermo · 1.75 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo
WWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 50%
Calcio Padova
WDLW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Palermo · 1 goals / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

8Goals scored (season)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (season)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Average goals in match2
PalermoCalcio Padova
8Goals scored (last 5)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%2 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%3 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%2 goals25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%3 goals25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%Scored in both halves0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
75%BTTS - last 550%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PalermoCalcio Padova
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.5 pts / match - Palermo · 1.25 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Palermo - half-time state
75% leading25% draw0% trailing
Calcio Padova - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.5Points per match (1st half)1.25
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Average goals (1st half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
100%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%No goal before half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
2Average goals (2nd half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%No goal after half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Palermo - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.501.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals25%75%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet100%25%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 75% leading - 25% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.50
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.5
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals25%0%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCalcio Padova
Average goals in match 3.002.60 2.00
Both teams scored 75%60% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%50% 25%
Clean sheets 25%20% 50%
Goal before half-time 75%63% 50%
Goal after half-time 75%88% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Palermo 2 - 0 - 0 Calcio Padova. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Palermo and Calcio Padova play?

Palermo face Calcio Padova on 19 September 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Calcio Padova?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2, Calcio Padova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

Palermo score 2.00 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Palermo's matches and 50% of Calcio Padova's.

What form are Palermo and Calcio Padova in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.