Persikad vs PSMS: match statistics
Persikad vs PSMS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Persikad played PSMS in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Persikad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. PSMS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Persikad scores 1.36 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. PSMS scores 1.27 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Persikad 55%, PSMS 64%. Over 2.5: Persikad 59%, PSMS 41%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
PSMS has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.19. Persikad: 8.8 shots per match, PSMS: 8.8.
Match halves
Persikad: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77. PSMS: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Persikad: 31-45+ (8 goals). PSMS: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Persikad (1) victory. The hosts have scored 30 goals this season, averaging 1.36 goals per home match versus PSMS’s 28 goals and 1.18 goals away; in the last 5 games Persikad scored 9 goals compared to PSMS’s 7. Persikad shows better attacking efficiency at home: 15% conversion rate with an average of 3.8 shots on target per match, while PSMS posts 11% with 5.0 shots on target, indicating greater clinicalness from the hosts. Defensively the hosts look superior — Persikad concedes on average 1.45 goals at home with an average xG against of 1.05, whereas PSMS concedes 1.55 goals away with xG against 1.55; additionally Persikad has 27% clean sheets at home while PSMS has none on the road (0%). Both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (averaging 1.4 points), but Persikad’s higher home win rate (36% vs PSMS’s 18% away wins) and stronger defense favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates BTTS - Yes is more likely: Persikad has a seasonal BTTS rate of 55%, PSMS 73%, and in the last 5 matches both teams scored in 80% of games. Defensively PSMS looks weaker — they concede 1.55 goals per game on average and have 0% clean sheets this season, while Persikad concedes only 0.82 goals seasonally, but conceded 1.4 on average in the last 5. Offensively Persikad records 1.36 goals per game this season (1.8 in the last 5), with 9.25 shots and 5.0 on target on average and a conversion rate of 19%, and PSMS has 1.18 goals per game (1.4 in the last 5), 11.09 shots and 5.0 on target and xG 1.36, showing both teams create chances. Opposing xG are 0.84 for Persikad and 1.55 for PSMS, while the league overall has 49% BTTS with 60% clean sheets; nonetheless, the strong team signal of 73% seasonally and 80% in the last 5 suggests a higher likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 80% (Yes) versus 20% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and opponent-defense-based model yields 1.34 expected goals for Persikad (average of 1.13 home xG and 1.55 xG conceded by PSMS) and 1.10 for PSMS (average of 1.36 away xG and 0.84 xG conceded by Persikad), totaling 2.44 expected goals. From a Poisson distribution with lambda=2.44 there is roughly a 70% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 44% for 3+ (Over 2.5) and about 23% for 4+ (Over 3.5). Seasonal figures reinforce this: Over 1.5 occurred in 73% of Persikad’s matches and 82% of PSMS’s matches (average 77.5%), while BTTS stands at 55% and 73%, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, Persikad converts 19% of shots versus 11% for PSMS, and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 9 goals (avg. 1.8) versus 7 goals (avg. 1.4) for the visitors, which strengthens the signal for at least two goals in the game. Consequently I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable selection; Over 2.5 remains possible (~44%) but less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Persikad led at the break in 45% of their matches and has an overall win rate of 55%, while PSMS drew at halftime in 82% of games and wins only 18% of matches. In second halves Persikad scores an average of 0.82 goals and records an average of 1.73 points, whereas PSMS averages 0.64 goals and only 0.73 points, indicating a home advantage after the break. PSMS has a higher xG per match (1.36 vs 1.13), but Persikad converts chances better (shot conversion 19% versus 11%) and defends more effectively (xG against 0.84 vs 1.55), so the visitors rarely overturn deficits. Given PSMS’s high frequency of draws at halftime (82%) and Persikad’s ability to improve the result in the second half, the most likely scenario is a draw at halftime and a Persikad win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Persikad | PSMS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persikad is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Persikad · 1.27 goals / match - PSMS
PSMS is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Persikad · 1.18 goals / match - PSMS
Persikad scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while PSMS keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
PSMS scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Persikad keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Persikad
Over / Under - PSMS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSMS is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Persikad · 1.41 pts / match - PSMS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persikad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PSMS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Persikad
PSMS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| Persikad | Liga | PSMS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Persikad 1 - 1 - 0 PSMS. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Persikad vs PSMS?
The Liga 2 match finished Persikad 2:2 PSMS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Persikad and PSMS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Persikad won 1, PSMS won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Persikad vs PSMS?
Persikad score 1.36 goals per game on average and PSMS 1.27. The Liga 2 average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Persikad's matches and 64% of PSMS's.
What form are Persikad and PSMS in?
Over the last 5 games Persikad have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PSMS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persikad vs PSMS?
The statistical background for Persikad vs PSMS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.