United States - USL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising Soccer ComplexData current as of 21 October 2026

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Phoenix Rising play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex.

Current form

Phoenix Rising: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lexington: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Phoenix Rising scores 1.45 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.86 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Phoenix Rising 66%, Lexington 55%. Over 2.5: Phoenix Rising 59%, Lexington 59%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Lexington has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.48. Phoenix Rising: 12.8 shots per match, Lexington: 14.3.

Match halves

Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.79. Lexington: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (12 goals). Lexington: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.41)
(3.50)
(2.39)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Phoenix RisingLexington
1.45Goals scored / match1.86
Phoenix RisingLexington
1.48Goals conceded / match1.24
Phoenix RisingLexington
49%Average possession51%
Phoenix RisingLexington
4.31Shots on target / match4.93
Phoenix RisingLexington

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.83Shots per match14.28
Phoenix RisingLexington
4.31Shots on target4.93
Phoenix RisingLexington
11.3%Shot conversion13%
Phoenix RisingLexington
49%Possession51%
Phoenix RisingLexington
1.48xG for1.66
Phoenix RisingLexington
1.31xG against1.32
Phoenix RisingLexington

Shooting quality

Phoenix Rising: BalancedLexington: Attacking
Phoenix RisingLexington
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lexington is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 2.6 pts / match - Lexington

Phoenix Rising
LLLWW
Season result split
34% W31% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-10
1.34 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Lexington
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W17% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-5-10
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.56Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lexington is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.86 goals / match - Lexington

Lexington is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.24 goals / match - Lexington

Phoenix Rising scoring profile: very strong

Phoenix Rising scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

42Goals scored (season)54
Phoenix RisingLexington
43Goals conceded (season)36
Phoenix RisingLexington
2.93Average goals in match3.1
Phoenix RisingLexington
8Goals scored (last 5)17
Phoenix RisingLexington
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
Phoenix RisingLexington

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal76%
Phoenix RisingLexington
41%2 goals48%
Phoenix RisingLexington
24%3 goals34%
Phoenix RisingLexington
0%4 goals17%
Phoenix RisingLexington

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal66%
Phoenix RisingLexington
45%2 goals38%
Phoenix RisingLexington
17%3 goals17%
Phoenix RisingLexington
3%4 goals3%
Phoenix RisingLexington

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time17%
Phoenix RisingLexington
3%BTTS in both halves7%
Phoenix RisingLexington
24%Scored in both halves31%
Phoenix RisingLexington

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Phoenix RisingLexington
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Phoenix RisingLexington
80%BTTS - last 560%
Phoenix RisingLexington

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Phoenix RisingLexington
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Phoenix RisingLexington
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Phoenix RisingLexington

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Phoenix RisingLexington
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
Phoenix RisingLexington
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Phoenix RisingLexington

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Phoenix Rising - half-time state
28% leading45% draw28% trailing
Lexington - half-time state
24% leading55% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)1.28
Phoenix RisingLexington
0.66Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Phoenix RisingLexington
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Phoenix RisingLexington
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.24
Phoenix RisingLexington
52%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Phoenix RisingLexington
52%No goal before half-time59%
Phoenix RisingLexington

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per match (2nd half)1.55
Phoenix RisingLexington
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Phoenix RisingLexington
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Phoenix RisingLexington
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Phoenix RisingLexington
45%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Phoenix RisingLexington
45%No goal after half-time34%
Phoenix RisingLexington

Phoenix Rising - second-half results

28% W45% D28% L
37
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lexington - second-half results

41% W31% D28% L
37
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Phoenix Rising - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Lexington - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match1.61.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Phoenix Rising
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
5
5
16-30
8
7
31-45
3
9
46-60
8
4
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
9
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
7
5
31-45
8
2
46-60
12
8
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Phoenix Rising

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.98
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Phoenix RisingLigaLexington
Average goals in match▲ 2.932.71▲ 3.10
Both teams scored▲ 66%54%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 59%49%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 17%28%▲ 34%
Goal before half-time▲ 72%66%▼ 59%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Phoenix Rising 0 - 0 - 3 Lexington. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Lexington
1 : 0
Phoenix Rising
Lexington SC
2 : 0
Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC
0 : 1
Lexington SC

FAQ

When do Phoenix Rising and Lexington play?

Phoenix Rising face Lexington on 25 October 2026 in USL Championship at Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Phoenix Rising and Lexington?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 0, Lexington won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Phoenix Rising score 1.45 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.86. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Phoenix Rising's matches and 55% of Lexington's.

What form are Phoenix Rising and Lexington in?

Over the last 5 games Phoenix Rising have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lexington 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

The statistical background for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.