Piratas vs Cancún: match statistics
Piratas vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Piratas played Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 9 November 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Piratas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cancún: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Piratas scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.81 and concedes 1.19. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Piratas 44%, Cancún 50%. Over 2.5: Piratas 50%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Piratas has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.64. Piratas: 18.1 shots per match, Cancún: 13.7.
Match halves
Piratas: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.19. Cancún: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Piratas: 76-90+ (12 goals). Cancún: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Piratas have won 71% of their home matches, while Cancún have claimed victory in 29% of their away games, clearly tilting the balance in the hosts’ favour. At home, Piratas average 2.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded, whereas Cancún score 1.71 goals away from home and concede as many as 1.86. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their average home xG is 2.32, compared with 0.74 xG for their opponents, while Cancún’s away figures stand at 1.32 xG in attack and 1.82 xG conceded. However, the visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches, conceding just 3 goals, so a closely fought contest cannot be ruled out. Despite this run, Piratas—who have scored 15 goals in their last five matches—are better placed to exploit their opponents’ weaker away defence.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Piratas average 2.0 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.94, while Cancún concede 1.86 goals away from home against opponents with an xG of 1.82, making a home goal highly likely. The visitors average 1.71 goals away and have yet to fail to score on the road, although Piratas keep a clean sheet in 63% of their home matches. The hosts’ solid defence is the main argument against BTTS, as also reflected in their 25% home rate of matches with goals at both ends, compared with 71% in Cancún’s away matches. Despite this contrast, the visitors’ attacking threat and the fact that both teams scored in 40% of their matches over their last five games give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been hit in 88% of Piratas matches and 86% of Cancún matches. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.86; Piratas’ xG of 1.94 compared with the 1.82 xG conceded by Cancún also points to strong scoring potential for the hosts. Piratas have scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, further strengthening this assessment. I’m more cautious about higher lines, as Piratas concede just 0.63 goals on average and have kept a clean sheet in 63% of matches, which could limit the visitors’ contribution to the scoreline. Therefore, with a projected total of 3.0 goals, Over 1.5 has a clearer edge than the riskier Over 2.5 or Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Piratas have led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with Cancún in 2 of 5, pointing to an early home advantage. Over the season, Piratas win 63% of their matches and concede an average of 0.63 goals, while Cancún win 29% and concede 1.86 goals per match. The hosts’ edge in creating chances is reflected in their average xG of 1.94 versus 1.32, and 6.5 versus 4.29 shots on target per match. After half-time, Piratas score an average of 1.38 goals, while Cancún concede 1.00 in that period, giving the hosts good reason to hold on to their lead. Although the visitors have not lost any of their last 5 matches, Piratas’ frequent leads at the break combined with their stronger full-time record make 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Piratas | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Piratas · 1.8 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piratas is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Piratas · 1.19 goals / match - Cancún
Piratas scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Cancún scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piratas
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piratas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Piratas
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Piratas | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.18 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Piratas 0 - 1 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Piratas vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Piratas 1:1 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Piratas and Cancún?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Piratas won 0, Cancún won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Cancún?
Piratas score 1.75 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.81. The Ascenso MX average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Piratas's matches and 50% of Cancún's.
What form are Piratas and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cancún 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.