Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched fixture. Plymouth Argyle has a better home record with a 39% win rate and a higher average ball possession (52%), yet their form in the last five matches has been inconsistent (1.4 PTS/match). Stevenage displays better current form with 1.8 PTS/match in their last five fixtures and three victories, even though they win only 33% of their away games. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their respective environments (Plymouth -3 at home, Stevenage -7 away), suggesting defensive issues. The close xG values (1.48 vs 1.1) and similar shot conversion rates (10% vs 11%) point to a potential draw in a tough, tactical encounter.
Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Stevenage: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.51 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.11 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 49%, Stevenage 50%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 54%, Stevenage 42%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Plymouth Argyle has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.19. Plymouth Argyle: 13.0 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.9.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.76. Stevenage: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 31-45+ (15 goals). Stevenage: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched fixture. Plymouth Argyle has a better home record with a 39% win rate and a higher average ball possession (52%), yet their form in the last five matches has been inconsistent (1.4 PTS/match). Stevenage displays better current form with 1.8 PTS/match in their last five fixtures and three victories, even though they win only 33% of their away games. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their respective environments (Plymouth -3 at home, Stevenage -7 away), suggesting defensive issues. The close xG values (1.48 vs 1.1) and similar shot conversion rates (10% vs 11%) point to a potential draw in a tough, tactical encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.8 pts / match - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.51 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.11 goals / match - Stevenage
Stevenage is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.03 goals / match - Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
Stevenage scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plymouth Argyle 0 - 1 - 0 Stevenage. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 1:0 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.51 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.11. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 50% of Stevenage's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Stevenage 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.