Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueMandela National StadiumData current as of 02 November 2026

Police Uganda vs Kitara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Police Uganda vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police Uganda play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 3 November 2026. Venue: Mandela National Stadium.

Current form

Police Uganda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kitara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police Uganda scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police Uganda 33%, Kitara 60%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 44%, Kitara 20%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.13. Police Uganda: 6.4 shots per match, Kitara: 7.6.

Match halves

Police Uganda: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78. Kitara: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Police Uganda: 76-90+ (5 goals). Kitara: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Police UgandaKitara
1Goals scored / match1.2
Police UgandaKitara
1.33Goals conceded / match0.6
Police UgandaKitara
46%Average possession50%
Police UgandaKitara
3.89Shots on target / match2.8
Police UgandaKitara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.44Shots per match7.6
Police UgandaKitara
3.89Shots on target2.8
Police UgandaKitara
15.5%Shot conversion15.8%
Police UgandaKitara
46%Possession50%
Police UgandaKitara
1.24xG for1.13
Police UgandaKitara
1.61xG against1.05
Police UgandaKitara

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: Counter-attackingKitara: Efficient finishing
Police UgandaKitara
Accuracy (shots on target)60%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kitara is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Police Uganda · 2.2 pts / match - Kitara

Police Uganda
LLDWW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kitara
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
DDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.2 goals / match - Kitara

Kitara is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.6 goals / match - Kitara

Police Uganda scoring profile: mixed

Police Uganda scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Kitara scoring profile: very strong

Kitara scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)6
Police UgandaKitara
12Goals conceded (season)3
Police UgandaKitara
2.33Average goals in match1.8
Police UgandaKitara
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Police UgandaKitara
11Goals conceded (last 5)3
Police UgandaKitara

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal100%
Police UgandaKitara
33%2 goals20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%3 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal60%
Police UgandaKitara
22%2 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
22%3 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
11%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Police UgandaKitara
22%Scored in both halves0%
Police UgandaKitara

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Police UgandaKitara
60%BTTS - last 560%
Police UgandaKitara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Police UgandaKitara
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Police UgandaKitara

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
Police UgandaKitara
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaKitara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.6 pts / match - Kitara

Police Uganda - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing
Kitara - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.22Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Police UgandaKitara
0.89Average goals (1st half)1
Police UgandaKitara
67%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Police UgandaKitara
78%No goal before half-time40%
Police UgandaKitara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.8
Police UgandaKitara
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Police UgandaKitara
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
Police UgandaKitara
1.44Average goals (2nd half)0.8
Police UgandaKitara
56%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Police UgandaKitara
44%No goal after half-time60%
Police UgandaKitara

Police Uganda - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kitara - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.07
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaKitara
Average goals in match▲ 2.332.19▼ 1.80
Both teams scored▼ 33%41%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%41%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 44%37%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%61%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%68%▼ 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.19
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 1 Kitara. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Police Uganda and Kitara play?

Police Uganda face Kitara on 3 November 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Mandela National Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and Kitara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 0, Kitara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Kitara?

Police Uganda score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.20. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Police Uganda's matches and 60% of Kitara's.

What form are Police Uganda and Kitara in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kitara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.