Police Uganda vs Kitara: match statistics
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Police Uganda vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 3 November 2026. Venue: Mandela National Stadium.
Current form
Police Uganda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kitara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 33%, Kitara 60%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 44%, Kitara 20%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.13. Police Uganda: 6.4 shots per match, Kitara: 7.6.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78. Kitara: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (5 goals). Kitara: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 60% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitara is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Police Uganda · 2.2 pts / match - Kitara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.2 goals / match - Kitara
Kitara is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.6 goals / match - Kitara
Police Uganda scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Kitara scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.6 pts / match - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 1 Kitara. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Police Uganda and Kitara play?
Police Uganda face Kitara on 3 November 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Mandela National Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and Kitara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 0, Kitara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Kitara?
Police Uganda score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.20. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Police Uganda's matches and 60% of Kitara's.
What form are Police Uganda and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kitara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Kitara?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


