Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 13 October 2026

Police Uganda vs SC Villa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Police Uganda vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police Uganda play SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 14 October 2026.

Current form

Police Uganda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. SC Villa: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police Uganda scores 0.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.60 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police Uganda 0%, SC Villa 40%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 20%, SC Villa 20%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.36. Police Uganda: 9.0 shots per match, SC Villa: 7.2.

Match halves

Police Uganda: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. SC Villa: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Police Uganda: 61-75 (2 goals). SC Villa: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Police UgandaSC Villa
0.6Goals scored / match1.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.8Goals conceded / match0.4
Police UgandaSC Villa
50%Average possession46%
Police UgandaSC Villa
4.6Shots on target / match2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match7.2
Police UgandaSC Villa
4.6Shots on target2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
6.7%Shot conversion22.2%
Police UgandaSC Villa
50%Possession46%
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.5xG for1.36
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.68xG against1.25
Police UgandaSC Villa

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: BalancedSC Villa: Counter-attacking
Police UgandaSC Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)51%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.62

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SC Villa is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Police Uganda · 2.2 pts / match - SC Villa

Police Uganda
WLDWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
SC Villa
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 167% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.6 goals / match - SC Villa

SC Villa is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.4 goals / match - SC Villa

Police Uganda scoring profile: more difficult

Police Uganda scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

SC Villa scoring profile: strong

SC Villa scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

3Goals scored (season)8
Police UgandaSC Villa
4Goals conceded (season)2
Police UgandaSC Villa
1.4Average goals in match2
Police UgandaSC Villa
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Police UgandaSC Villa
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Police UgandaSC Villa

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal100%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%2 goals40%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%3 goals20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal40%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%2 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%3 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

37%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Scored in both halves40%
Police UgandaSC Villa

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%BTTS - last 540%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

20%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Police UgandaSC Villa
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 225% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / match - Police Uganda · 2.6 pts / match - SC Villa

Police Uganda - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing
SC Villa - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)2.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0Goals scored (1st half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Average goals (1st half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
80%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Police UgandaSC Villa
100%No goal before half-time20%
Police UgandaSC Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Police UgandaSC Villa
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Police UgandaSC Villa
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Police UgandaSC Villa
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Police UgandaSC Villa
60%No goal after half-time40%
Police UgandaSC Villa

Police Uganda - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

SC Villa - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 60%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
SC Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
20%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.90
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.88
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaSC Villa
Average goals in match▼ 1.402.05• 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%37%▲ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%40%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 60%38%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 20%56%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%67%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Police Uganda 1 - 0 - 1 SC Villa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Police Uganda
1 : 0
SC Villa
SC Villa
2 : 1
Police Uganda

FAQ

When do Police Uganda and SC Villa play?

Police Uganda face SC Villa on 14 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and SC Villa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 1, SC Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs SC Villa?

Police Uganda score 0.60 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.60. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Police Uganda's matches and 40% of SC Villa's.

What form are Police Uganda and SC Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and SC Villa 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs SC Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.