PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
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PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSM play Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 22 October 2026.
Current form
PSM: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSM scores 1.60 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSM 80%, Persebaya Surabaya 50%. Over 2.5: PSM 100%, Persebaya Surabaya 0%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Persebaya Surabaya has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.47. PSM: 11.6 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 13.5.
Match halves
PSM: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
PSM: 61-75 (3 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persebaya Surabaya is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - PSM · 2 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSM is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - PSM · 1 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Persebaya Surabaya is 380% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.4 goals / match - PSM · 0.5 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
PSM scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persebaya Surabaya is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - PSM · 2 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSM
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.07 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PSM 0 - 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do PSM and Persebaya Surabaya play?
PSM face Persebaya Surabaya on 22 October 2026 in Liga 1. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between PSM and Persebaya Surabaya?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PSM won 0, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
PSM score 1.60 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.00. The Liga 1 average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 80% of PSM's matches and 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are PSM and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.