Qabala vs Neftçi: match statistics
Qabala vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qabala played Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 18 September 2026. Venue: Şəhər stadionu. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Qabala: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Neftçi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qabala scores 0.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Neftçi scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qabala 20%, Neftçi 60%. Over 2.5: Qabala 20%, Neftçi 80%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.17. Qabala: 10.2 shots per match, Neftçi: 14.8.
Match halves
Qabala: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Neftçi: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Qabala: 0-15 (1 goals). Neftçi: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi top the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Qabala have recorded just 1 win over the same period and average only 0.8 points per game. The visitors are clearly more clinical: they have scored 15 goals in five matches and average 2.00 goals away from home with an 18% shot conversion rate, compared with Qabala’s 0.67 goals and 6% conversion rate at home. Neftçi’s superiority is also reflected in the quality of chances created, with their away xG standing at 1.58, while the hosts generate 1.29 xG. Qabala have failed to score in 67% of their home matches, which, combined with the league leaders’ attacking form, significantly limits their chances of securing a positive result. Although the hosts concede only 0.67 goals at home, their xGA is 1.56, meaning the defence could struggle to contain Neftçi’s efficient attack.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal is BTTS - No, as Qabala have scored just 0.4 goals per match over their last 5 games, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Neftçi are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.0 goals across their last 5 matches with a BTTS rate of 60%, but they can win without conceding. The hosts have failed to score in every home match in the seasonal data, while their average xG across their last five games is just 1.17. Qabala have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, and the league has a low BTTS rate of 44%, further supporting the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Neftçi arrive in excellent attacking form: they have scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 3.0 per game, with an average xG of 1.89. Qabala conceded only 0.8 goals per match during this period, but the quality of the chances they allowed opponents to create stood at 1.33 xG, giving the visitors a realistic opportunity to score at least two goals. The hosts are significantly weaker in attack, scoring just 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 appearances, which is why the 2.5 line does not offer the same clear edge. Nevertheless, both teams had at least 2 goals in 100% and 67% of their matches so far, while Neftçi have kept no clean sheets. Therefore, the strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the visitors’ high attacking efficiency should be enough to clear this low line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from current form: Neftçi have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Qabala have scored only 0.4 goals and lost 3 of their 5 games. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of those five appearances, averaging 1.8 goals before half-time, whereas the hosts failed to lead in any of them and scored just 0.2 first-half goals per match. The difference remains evident after the interval, with Neftçi averaging 1.2 goals and Qabala only 0.2. Qabala do have a perfect record from their two home matches so far and average 2.5 goals before half-time, but such a small sample is less reliable than Neftçi’s clearly stronger run. Therefore, the most likely scenario is an HT/FT outcome of 2/2, with the visitors leading at the break and securing the win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qabala | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Qabala · 2.4 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 650% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Qabala · 3 goals / match - Neftçi
Qabala is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Qabala · 1 goals / match - Neftçi
Qabala scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Neftçi scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qabala
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Qabala · 2 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qabala - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qabala
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qabala | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.20 | 2.54 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Qabala 0 - 0 - 3 Neftçi. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qabala vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 0:3 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Neftçi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qabala won 0, Neftçi won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Neftçi?
Qabala score 0.40 goals per game on average and Neftçi 3.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Qabala's matches and 60% of Neftçi's.
What form are Qabala and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Neftçi 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.