Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıTofik BakhramovData current as of 02 September 2026

Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qarabağ play Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 4 September 2026. Venue: Tofik Bakhramov.

Current form

Qarabağ: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Araz: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qarabağ scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Araz scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 1.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qarabağ 50%, Araz 0%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 50%, Araz 33%. League level: BTTS 19%, Over 2.5 25%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.52 vs 0.99. Qarabağ: 19.0 shots per match, Araz: 9.0.

Match halves

Qarabağ: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Araz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Qarabağ: 16-30 (1 goals). Araz: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 19%, Over 2.5 25%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 5.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match0
QarabağAraz
0.5Goals conceded / match2
QarabağAraz
61%Average possession44%
QarabağAraz
7.5Shots on target / match3
QarabağAraz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19Shots per match9
QarabağAraz
7.5Shots on target3
QarabağAraz
10.5%Shot conversion0%
QarabağAraz
61%Possession44%
QarabağAraz
2.52xG for0.99
QarabağAraz
1.2xG against2.22
QarabağAraz

Shooting quality

Qarabağ: DominantAraz: Balanced
QarabağAraz
Accuracy (shots on target)39%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ is 809% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Qarabağ · 0.33 pts / match - Araz

Qarabağ
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 2.52Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Araz
DLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 2.22BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Qarabağ · 2 goals / match - Araz

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Araz scoring profile: more difficult

Araz scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

4Goals scored (season)0
QarabağAraz
1Goals conceded (season)6
QarabağAraz
2.5Average goals in match2
QarabağAraz
4Goals scored (last 5)0
QarabağAraz
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
QarabağAraz

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal0%
QarabağAraz
50%2 goals0%
QarabağAraz
50%3 goals0%
QarabağAraz
0%4 goals0%
QarabağAraz

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal67%
QarabağAraz
0%2 goals33%
QarabağAraz
0%3 goals33%
QarabağAraz
0%4 goals33%
QarabağAraz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
QarabağAraz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
QarabağAraz
50%Scored in both halves0%
QarabağAraz

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
QarabağAraz
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
QarabağAraz
50%BTTS - last 50%
QarabağAraz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
QarabağAraz
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
QarabağAraz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
QarabağAraz

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
QarabağAraz
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
QarabağAraz
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
QarabağAraz

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Qarabağ · 0.67 pts / match - Araz

Qarabağ - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Araz - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.67
QarabağAraz
1Goals scored (1st half)0
QarabağAraz
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
QarabağAraz
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.33
QarabağAraz
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
QarabağAraz
0%No goal before half-time100%
QarabağAraz

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0.33
QarabağAraz
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
QarabağAraz
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
QarabağAraz
1Average goals (2nd half)0.67
QarabağAraz
100%Clean sheet after half-time33%
QarabağAraz
50%No goal after half-time100%
QarabağAraz

Qarabağ - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Araz - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 2
Araz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.670.33
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match1.30.7
Average goals in match1.30.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Araz
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
129%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+152%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
168%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QarabağLigaAraz
Average goals in match 2.501.75 2.00
Both teams scored 50%19% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%25% 33%
Clean sheets 50%50% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%50% 33%
Goal after half-time 50%63% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per match
19%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
50%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.56
Away goals / match
+112%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Qarabağ 3 - 0 - 0 Araz. Average goals 5.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Qarabağ and Araz play?

Qarabağ face Araz on 4 September 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Tofik Bakhramov. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Araz?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 3, Araz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?

Qarabağ score 2.00 goals per game on average and Araz 0.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's matches and 0% of Araz's.

What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?

Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Araz 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.