Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics
Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ played Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Tofik Bakhramov. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Qarabağ: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Araz: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Araz scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 50%, Araz 0%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 50%, Araz 33%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.52 vs 0.99. Qarabağ: 19.0 shots per match, Araz: 9.0.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Araz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 16-30 (1 goals). Araz: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 5.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match so far 3:1, averaging 3 goals and an xG of 3.06. The hosts create a very high number of chances, averaging 23 shots and 11 on target per match, with 65% possession. Araz lost their only away fixture, failed to score and conceded as many as 5 goals, while their average attacking xG is just 1.31 compared to 2.02 xG conceded in front of their own goal. The difference is also reflected in their current form: Qarabağ have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 7 goals in that span, whereas Araz have conceded 9. Given this disparity in the quality of chances created and the visitors’ attacking problems, a Qarabağ victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as the current data for both teams shows that 0% of matches have featured goals from both sides, while the league records just 25% of such games. Qarabağ have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far and conceded only 1 goal, while Araz have yet to score and failed to find the net in 100% of their games. The last five matches present a more balanced picture, with both teams recording BTTS in 40% of their appearances and Araz averaging 1.54 xG, but the hosts remain clear favourites to limit the visitors. Araz concede an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches and have allowed 2.02 xG per game in the current data, so the most likely outcome is a Qarabağ scoring result with at least one side failing to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Qarabağ’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, while Araz’s games averaged 3.0 goals; however, only 40% and 60% of them respectively went Over 2.5 goals. During this period, both teams created quality chances worth 1.52 and 1.54 xG per match, but they also conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.8 goals, respectively. This points more towards a total of around two or three goals than an open, high-scoring game. The league is clearly lower-scoring, with an average of just 2.0 goals and only 33% of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals. The Over/Under 3.5 line therefore has the strongest support, as at least four goals are required to surpass it, while league data and recent results do not indicate such a high scoring tempo.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qarabağ win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 of Araz’s last 5. In the first halves, Qarabağ averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, pointing to an evenly matched, cautious start. After the break, the hosts show a greater advantage: they score 1.0 goals on average compared with Araz’s 0.6, and they won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors did so in only 20%. Overall, Qarabağ won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 goals, whereas Araz conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. The data from the current, very small sample of the season is limited, but recent form and the hosts’ clearly stronger second-half performance reinforce the X/1 HT/FT option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 809% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Qarabağ · 0.33 pts / match - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Qarabağ · 2 goals / match - Araz
Qarabağ scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Araz scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Qarabağ · 0.67 pts / match - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Araz - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.33 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Qarabağ 3 - 0 - 0 Araz. Average goals 5.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 3:2 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Araz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 3, Araz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?
Qarabağ score 2.00 goals per game on average and Araz 0.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's matches and 0% of Araz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Araz 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.