Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queen of the South played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Palmerston Park. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Queen of the South: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cove Rangers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queen of the South scores 0.75 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 0.63 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queen of the South 63%, Cove Rangers 25%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 63%, Cove Rangers 38%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.02 vs 1.01. Queen of the South: 9.0 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 7.0.
Match halves
Queen of the South: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Queen of the South: 46-60 (2 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queen of the South have a slight advantage thanks to home form: they average 0.75 goals per match at home, while Cove Rangers score just 0.25 goals away and have lost all 4 of those matches. The hosts also create slightly better chances, with a home xG of 1.17 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 0.97. Queen of the South’s defensive record in these conditions also supports backing the hosts: they concede an average of 1.25 goals, while Cove Rangers concede 2 per match away from home. However, the risk remains significant, as Queen of the South have conceded 16 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 games overall. Therefore, a home win is the most likely single outcome, but the defensive frailties of both teams mean Queen of the South cannot be considered clear favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, Queen of the South have seen both teams score in 80% of games, compared with 60% for Cove Rangers, which supports a BTTS - Yes pick. The visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored during this period, while the hosts conceded 3.2, so Cove look considerably more likely to score than their season away average of 0.25 goals suggests. Queen of the South have recently averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Cove have conceded 1.2, also providing grounds to expect a goal from the hosts. However, caution is warranted: in Queen of the South’s home matches and Cove Rangers’ away matches, both teams have scored in only 25% of cases so far, and the visitors have failed to score in 75% of their away games. The teams’ more recent scoring form outweighs this risk, making it slightly more likely that both sides will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 75% of Queen of the South’s home matches and Cove Rangers’ away matches, providing a solid basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. In their last five games, Queen averaged 1.4 goals scored and conceded 3.2, while Cove scored 2.8 and conceded 1.2, so current form further supports this pick. However, caution is warranted: Queen have conceded just 0.75 goals per match at home so far, while Cove have scored only 0.25 per match away. The projected total of 2.67 goals therefore points more strongly to the 1.5 line than the 2.5 line, despite both teams going Over the higher line in their last five matches in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams were level at the break in 50% of their respective home and away matches, while Cove Rangers have yet to score in the first half of an away game. The hosts could gain the upper hand after the break, having scored an average of 0.75 goals in second halves at home, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.5 away from home. Queen of the South's goal record in these conditions also points to a home win: they average 1 goal scored and 0.75 conceded, compared with Cove Rangers' 0.25 scored and 2 conceded. However, caution is warranted, as the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, scoring an average of 2.8 goals in those games. Despite this improvement in form, their four defeats in four analysed away matches make a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queen of the South | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Queen of the South · 0.63 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
3 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.38 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Queen of the South scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queen of the South
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cove Rangers is 252% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.25 pts / match - Queen of the South · 0.88 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queen of the South - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queen of the South
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Queen of the South | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Queen of the South 2 - 2 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Queen of the South 4:3 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Cove Rangers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Queen of the South score 0.75 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 0.63. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Queen of the South's matches and 25% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Queen of the South and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cove Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.