RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RCD Mallorca played Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
RCD Mallorca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rayo Vallecano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
RCD Mallorca scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Rayo Vallecano scores 0.97 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RCD Mallorca 67%, Rayo Vallecano 43%. Over 2.5: RCD Mallorca 67%, Rayo Vallecano 37%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.21. RCD Mallorca: 10.3 shots per match, Rayo Vallecano: 13.6.
Match halves
RCD Mallorca: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.77. Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
RCD Mallorca: 76-90+ (11 goals). Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Based on the data, RCD Mallorca at home averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per match, records 4.4 shots on target and 11.53 total attempts; Rayo Vallecano away scores only 0.8 goals with 11.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target. The difference in finishing is clear: Mallorca converts shots in 13% of cases versus Rayo's 7%, and the share of matches without a goal is 13% for the hosts versus 53% for the visitors, highlighting Rayo's problem with finalizing chances. In terms of chance quality, Mallorca's home xG is 1.35 compared to Rayo's away xG of 1.27, and the higher number of shots on target (4.4 vs 3.67) plus better conversion favour the hosts. Recent form over the last 5 matches gives both teams an average of 1.4 points, but season-long indicators show Mallorca's advantage: 47% home win rate versus Rayo's 20% away win rate and a goal difference of +4 for Mallorca versus -12 for Rayo. Based on this, I predict a home win; I assess the probabilities as 60% for Mallorca, 20% for a draw and 20% for a Rayo win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' in the BTTS market because Rayo Vallecano have significant attacking issues: they average just 0.8 goals per match this season and failed to score in 53% of games, with a season-long BTTS rate of only 33%. Mallorca display stronger offensive metrics (xG 1.75, 15.93 shots per match and 5.53 shots on target), a season goals average of 1.13 and an 80% BTTS in their last 5 home matches. However, Rayo manage only 3.67 shots on target and have a 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches with an average of 1.0 goal, which substantially reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring here. Defensive stats are mixed (seasonally Rayo concede 1.6 goals vs Mallorca 0.73, but Rayo concede only 0.6 in their last 5), yet Rayo’s high share of clean sheets/non-scoring matches (53%) and the visitors’ low season BTTS (33%) dominate the assessment, leading to a 35% rating for 'BTTS - Yes' and 65% for 'BTTS - No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total expected goals are about 2.89: home side has xG_for 1.75 and the away defense xG_against 1.48, yielding roughly 1.62 for Mallorca; visitors have xG_for 1.27 and the home defense xG_against 1.26, yielding about 1.27 for Rayo. Both teams have 67% of matches this season over 1.5 goals, while the over 0.5 rate is 87% for Mallorca and 93% for Rayo, which increases the probability of at least two goals. Mallorca averages 5.53 shots on target and 15.93 shots per game versus Rayo’s 3.67 and 11.33, with a similar conversion rate of 7%, indicating offensive pressure from the hosts. Historical over 2.5 stats are lower (27% for Mallorca, 47% for Rayo), and over 3.5 remains unlikely (7%/27%), therefore Over 2.5 is moderately likely, but the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). The home team were level at the break in 6 matches (40%), and 53% of their matches finish as draws, which strongly favors the X/X outcome. Mallorca have the creative advantage (xG 1.75 versus 1.27 for Rayo and 5.53 shots on target versus 3.67), yet they win at home only 33% of the time, so many advantages still result in shared points. Rayo have serious away issues (60% away defeats and were behind at half-time in 8 games, i.e. 53%), therefore they rarely stage a turnaround after the break. Considering that the first half produces goals in 60% of the home team’s matches and 80% of the visitors’ matches, but the final draw dominates (53%), the X/X scenario receives the strongest signal (approx. 30%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RCD Mallorca | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.6 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 0.97 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.17 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
RCD Mallorca scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.17 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| RCD Mallorca | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 83% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RCD Mallorca 0 - 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished RCD Mallorca 3:0 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
RCD Mallorca score 1.20 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 0.97. The La Liga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of RCD Mallorca's matches and 43% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games RCD Mallorca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.