Italy - Serie C Group AData current as of 03 September 2026

Renate vs Novara: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Renate vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Renate play Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 7 September 2026.

Current form

Renate: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. Novara: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Renate scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Renate 50%, Novara 50%. Over 2.5: Renate 50%, Novara 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Renate has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.21. Renate: 15.0 shots per match, Novara: 10.5.

Match halves

Renate: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Renate: 31-45+ (1 goals). Novara: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.24)
(3.10)
(3.10)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match1
RenateNovara
2Goals conceded / match1.5
RenateNovara
49%Average possession36%
RenateNovara
4Shots on target / match1.5
RenateNovara

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match10.5
RenateNovara
4Shots on target1.5
RenateNovara
3.3%Shot conversion9.5%
RenateNovara
49%Possession36%
RenateNovara
1.57xG for1.21
RenateNovara
1.46xG against1.39
RenateNovara

Shooting quality

Renate: AttackingNovara: Balanced
RenateNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)27%14%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.67

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Renate
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Novara
LD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novara is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Renate · 1 goals / match - Novara

Novara is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Renate · 1.5 goals / match - Novara

Renate scoring profile: very strong

Renate scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Novara scoring profile: very strong

Novara scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

1Goals scored (season)2
RenateNovara
4Goals conceded (season)3
RenateNovara
2.5Average goals in match2.5
RenateNovara
1Goals scored (last 5)2
RenateNovara
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
RenateNovara

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
RenateNovara
0%2 goals50%
RenateNovara
0%3 goals0%
RenateNovara
0%4 goals0%
RenateNovara

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
RenateNovara
50%2 goals50%
RenateNovara
50%3 goals0%
RenateNovara
0%4 goals0%
RenateNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
RenateNovara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RenateNovara
0%Scored in both halves0%
RenateNovara

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RenateNovara
50%BTTS - last 550%
RenateNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
RenateNovara
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
RenateNovara
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
RenateNovara

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
RenateNovara

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Renate - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Novara - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)0
RenateNovara
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
RenateNovara
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
RenateNovara
2Average goals (1st half)1
RenateNovara
0%Clean sheet before half-time0%
RenateNovara
50%No goal before half-time100%
RenateNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)2
RenateNovara
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
RenateNovara
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
RenateNovara
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
RenateNovara
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
RenateNovara
100%No goal after half-time50%
RenateNovara

Renate - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
0
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novara - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Renate - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.50
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match1.50.5
Average goals in match2.00.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1
Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.002.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.5
Average goals in match1.01.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Renate
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Renate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
40%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
250%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

RenateLigaNovara
Average goals in match 2.502.05 2.50
Both teams scored 50%45% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%35% 50%
Clean sheets 0%35% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%50% 100%
Goal after half-time 50%70% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
0.80
Away goals / match
+56%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Renate 2 - 0 - 0 Novara. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Renate and Novara play?

Renate face Novara on 7 September 2026 in Serie C Group A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Renate and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Renate won 2, Novara won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Renate vs Novara?

Renate score 0.50 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Renate's matches and 50% of Novara's.

What form are Renate and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Renate have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Novara 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Renate vs Novara?

The statistical background for Renate vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.