Renate vs Novara: match statistics
Renate vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Renate played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 7 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Città di Meda. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Renate: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. Novara: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Renate scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Renate 50%, Novara 50%. Over 2.5: Renate 50%, Novara 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Renate has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.21. Renate: 15.0 shots per match, Novara: 10.5.
Match halves
Renate: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Renate: 31-45+ (1 goals). Novara: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara are showing clearly stronger recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, while Renate have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 points per game. The visitors have conceded just 4 goals in their last five appearances, whereas Renate have allowed 9 opposition goals over the same period. In the home-and-away split, neither team has scored yet and both have suffered one defeat, but Novara have been more effective at limiting the quality of their opponents’ chances: their average xG against is 1.03 compared with Renate’s 1.48. Renate register more shots on target at home, 4 per match compared with Novara’s 2 away, but they have failed to convert this into a goal, reducing the value of the home advantage. A closely contested match with few goals is expected; however, the stronger recent trend and more stable defence point towards a narrow Novara victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Novara’s difficulty in scoring: in the away-season data, they average 0.0 goals and failed to find the net in 100% of such matches. Renate have a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals at home, while their opponents create 1.75 xG against them; however, Novara’s recent form remains limited to 1.4 goals scored per match. In their last five appearances, BTTS occurred for both teams in only 40% of matches, below the league average of 45%. Novara are indeed on a good run, with 7 goals scored and only 4 conceded in their last five matches, but their seasonal away inefficiency clearly increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Renate averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Novara scored 1.4 goals and conceded just 0.8. The hosts’ attacking potential according to xG stands at 1.66, but Novara have limited their opponents to 1.65 xG, which does not suggest a one-sided, high-scoring game. In their last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of Renate’s games and 40% of Novara’s, while the league-wide average is only 2.05 goals and Over 2.5 has landed in 35% of matches. A projected total of 2.40 goals leaves a realistic chance of three goals, but a scenario with at least four goals is clearly less likely, making Under 3.5 the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Novara have shown significantly better form in their last five matches: they won three games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Renate lost three times, scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.8. The visitors’ advantage is already evident before half-time, as they were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches, whereas Renate were trailing at that stage in 60%. Novara average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded before half-time, while Renate’s figures stand at 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. After the break, the visitors drew the second half in 80% of their recent appearances, which supports their ability to preserve an early lead. The most likely scenario therefore remains Novara taking the lead at half-time and securing the victory by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Renate | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 14% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.67 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Renate · 1 goals / match - Novara
Novara is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Renate · 1.5 goals / match - Novara
Renate scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Novara scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Renate
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Renate - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Renate
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Renate | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.04 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Renate 2 - 0 - 0 Novara. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Renate vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Renate 1:2 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Renate and Novara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Renate won 2, Novara won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Renate vs Novara?
Renate score 0.50 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Renate's matches and 50% of Novara's.
What form are Renate and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Renate have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Novara 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Renate vs Novara?
The statistical background for Renate vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.