Rijeka vs Varaždin: match statistics
Rijeka vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rijeka played Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Stadion HNK Rijeka. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rijeka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Varaždin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rijeka scores 1.70 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.36 and concedes 0.91. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rijeka 70%, Varaždin 45%. Over 2.5: Rijeka 70%, Varaždin 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Rijeka has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.49. Rijeka: 15.3 shots per match, Varaždin: 13.7.
Match halves
Rijeka: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.70. Varaždin: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Rijeka: 31-45+ (6 goals). Varaždin: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-4. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rijeka have won all 4 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3 goals per game, while Varaždin have lost 40% of their away fixtures and concede an average of 1.4 goals in those matches. The hosts create significantly better chances at home: their average xG is 2.30, compared with the visitors’ 1.51 away from home, and they average 9 shots on target to Varaždin’s 4. In their last 5 matches, Rijeka scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins, while Varaždin scored 4 goals and won just once. The hosts’ defence is a potential concern, having conceded 8 goals over that period compared with 5 for their opponents. However, Rijeka’s attacking edge and strong home form point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for at least one team failing to score is Rijeka’s defence: at home, they concede an average of just 0.5 goals and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Varaždin average 1.6 goals scored away, but that figure has fallen to 0.8 over their last 5 matches, weakening the visitors’ chances of breaking down this defence. Rijeka, meanwhile, have seen both teams score in only 33% of their home matches, although 80% of their last 5 matches featured goals from both sides. With Varaždin’s away BTTS rate at 60%, the signals are not clear-cut, but the hosts’ defensive edge gives a slight advantage to BTTS - No. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rijeka score an average of 1.17 goals at home, but have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, each of which finished with at least 3 goals. Varaždin concede an average of 1.4 goals away from home and have kept a clean sheet in just 20% of matches, increasing the likelihood of the hosts scoring. The visitors average 1.6 goals, although Rijeka concede just 0.5 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Therefore, I estimate the total goals at 2.65, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick: it requires just two goals and offers a clearer edge than the riskier Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Rijeka were level at the break in 4 of 6 home matches, while Varaždin were level in 2 of 5 away matches; neither team conceded before half-time in those games. The balance shifts toward the hosts in the second half, as Varaždin concede an average of 1.4 goals after the break away from home, compared with Rijeka’s 0.5 at home. Rijeka average 1.83 points per home match, versus Varaždin’s 1.4 points away, and have an xG of 1.47 against 1.79 xG from chances conceded by the visitors. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Rijeka win at the final whistle is the strongest scenario, although Varaždin’s lead at the break in 3 of 5 away matches remains a significant risk.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rijeka | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rijeka is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rijeka · 1 pts / match - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rijeka is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Rijeka · 1.36 goals / match - Varaždin
Varaždin is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Rijeka · 0.91 goals / match - Varaždin
Rijeka scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Varaždin scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rijeka
Over / Under - Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Rijeka · 1.91 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rijeka
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Rijeka | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.10 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Rijeka 1 - 0 - 4 Varaždin. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rijeka vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Rijeka 1:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rijeka and Varaždin?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 1, Varaždin won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rijeka vs Varaždin?
Rijeka score 1.70 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.36. The Prva HNL average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Rijeka's matches and 45% of Varaždin's.
What form are Rijeka and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Rijeka have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Varaždin 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rijeka vs Varaždin?
The statistical background for Rijeka vs Varaždin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.