Austria - BundesligaRed Bull ArenaData current as of 19 September 2026

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Salzburg vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Salzburg play Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Red Bull Arena.

Current form

Salzburg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Sturm Graz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Salzburg scores 2.50 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Salzburg 67%, Sturm Graz 67%. Over 2.5: Salzburg 50%, Sturm Graz 33%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Salzburg has higher xG: 2.34 vs 1.80. Salzburg: 21.3 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 16.5.

Match halves

Salzburg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Salzburg: 0-15 (4 goals). Sturm Graz: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(4.00)
(4.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SalzburgSturm Graz
2.5Goals scored / match1.33
SalzburgSturm Graz
0.67Goals conceded / match1
SalzburgSturm Graz
65%Average possession51%
SalzburgSturm Graz
8.17Shots on target / match4.83
SalzburgSturm Graz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

21.33Shots per match16.5
SalzburgSturm Graz
8.17Shots on target4.83
SalzburgSturm Graz
11.7%Shot conversion8.1%
SalzburgSturm Graz
65%Possession51%
SalzburgSturm Graz
2.34xG for1.8
SalzburgSturm Graz
1.08xG against1.44
SalzburgSturm Graz

Shooting quality

Salzburg: DominantSturm Graz: Attacking
SalzburgSturm Graz
Accuracy (shots on target)38%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Salzburg is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Salzburg · 2 pts / match - Sturm Graz

Salzburg
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Sturm Graz
WWDLW
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Salzburg is 88% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Salzburg · 1.33 goals / match - Sturm Graz

Salzburg is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Salzburg · 1 goals / match - Sturm Graz

Salzburg scoring profile: very strong

Salzburg scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Sturm Graz scoring profile: very strong

Sturm Graz scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

15Goals scored (season)8
SalzburgSturm Graz
4Goals conceded (season)6
SalzburgSturm Graz
3.17Average goals in match2.33
SalzburgSturm Graz
14Goals scored (last 5)7
SalzburgSturm Graz
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
SalzburgSturm Graz

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
SalzburgSturm Graz
50%2 goals33%
SalzburgSturm Graz
50%3 goals0%
SalzburgSturm Graz
33%4 goals0%
SalzburgSturm Graz

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
SalzburgSturm Graz
0%2 goals17%
SalzburgSturm Graz
0%3 goals17%
SalzburgSturm Graz
0%4 goals0%
SalzburgSturm Graz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
SalzburgSturm Graz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SalzburgSturm Graz
50%Scored in both halves17%
SalzburgSturm Graz

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
SalzburgSturm Graz
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SalzburgSturm Graz
80%BTTS - last 560%
SalzburgSturm Graz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
SalzburgSturm Graz
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SalzburgSturm Graz
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
SalzburgSturm Graz

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
SalzburgSturm Graz
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
SalzburgSturm Graz
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SalzburgSturm Graz

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Salzburg is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Salzburg · 0.67 pts / match - Sturm Graz

Salzburg - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Sturm Graz - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.67
SalzburgSturm Graz
1.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
SalzburgSturm Graz
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
SalzburgSturm Graz
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.33
SalzburgSturm Graz
100%Clean sheet before half-time33%
SalzburgSturm Graz
50%No goal before half-time50%
SalzburgSturm Graz

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2.17
SalzburgSturm Graz
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
SalzburgSturm Graz
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
SalzburgSturm Graz
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1
SalzburgSturm Graz
33%Clean sheet after half-time83%
SalzburgSturm Graz
0%No goal after half-time33%
SalzburgSturm Graz

Salzburg - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sturm Graz - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Salzburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match1.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+8+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8
Sturm Graz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Salzburg
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Sturm Graz
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Salzburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Sturm Graz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

SalzburgLigaSturm Graz
Average goals in match 3.172.94 2.33
Both teams scored 67%56% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%61% 33%
Clean sheets 33%24% 33%
Goal before half-time 50%75% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%81% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Salzburg 0 - 3 - 1 Sturm Graz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FC Salzburg
1 : 1
SK Sturm Graz
SK Sturm Graz
1 : 1
FC Salzburg
SK Sturm Graz
1 : 1
FC Salzburg
FC Salzburg
0 : 2
SK Sturm Graz

FAQ

When do Salzburg and Sturm Graz play?

Salzburg face Sturm Graz on 20 September 2026 in Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Salzburg and Sturm Graz?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 0, Sturm Graz won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?

Salzburg score 2.50 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.33. The Bundesliga average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Salzburg's matches and 67% of Sturm Graz's.

What form are Salzburg and Sturm Graz in?

Over the last 5 games Salzburg have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sturm Graz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?

The statistical background for Salzburg vs Sturm Graz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.