Santos vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Santos vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santos played Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Santos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Palmeiras: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santos scores 1.53 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.75 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santos 75%, Palmeiras 53%. Over 2.5: Santos 66%, Palmeiras 47%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.48. Santos: 13.7 shots per match, Palmeiras: 15.5.
Match halves
Santos: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.88. Palmeiras: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Santos: 76-90+ (13 goals). Palmeiras: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras are the favourites: they sit 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while eighth-placed Santos have won 3. The visitors have conceded just 3 goals over that period, compared with 7 by the hosts, and average 0.75 goals conceded per away match, while Santos concede 1.33 per game at home. Palmeiras win 50% of their away matches and keep a clean sheet in half of them, whereas Santos win 40% of their home games. The hosts’ chance lies in the quality of the opportunities they create: their home xG is 1.54, while their opponents’ away xG against is 1.65, suggesting they could trouble the Palmeiras defence. Even so, the visitors’ more potent away attack—1.63 goals per match compared with Santos’ 1.47 at home—and their stronger recent form point to a Palmeiras win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Santos average 1.87 goals at home, while Palmeiras average 1.63 away, so both teams have the potential to find the net. Both teams scored in each of Santos’s last 5 matches, in which they conceded an average of 1.4 goals, boosting Palmeiras’s chances of scoring. However, the case for BTTS - No is supported by the visitors’ defence: they keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5. The season-long rates of matches featuring goals from both teams are 60% for Santos and 50% for Palmeiras, so despite the visitors’ solid defence, BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 80% of Santos' matches and 69% of Palmeiras' matches. Both teams concede relatively few goals on average—0.67 and 0.75 per match, respectively—which limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Santos average 1.87 goals scored, while Palmeiras average 1.63; however, the visitors have conceded just 3 goals across their last five matches. All five of Santos' most recent matches featured at least three goals, making the lower 2.5-goal line less convincing. With a projected total of 2.40 goals, Under 3.5 offers the stronger value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Palmeiras led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded no first-half goals in those games, while Santos did not lead at half-time at all during the same period. This difference in current form points to the visitors leading at the break, although Santos led at half-time in 60% of their matches this season. Palmeiras’ ability to hold onto their advantage is supported by winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 0.6 goals, compared with Santos’ 1.4. However, the home side have won 73% of their matches this season and averaged 1.6 second-half goals across their last 5 games, so a turnaround remains a genuine threat to the 2/2 pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Santos · 2.6 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Santos · 1.75 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Santos · 0.69 goals / match - Palmeiras
Santos scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 47% (15 of 32 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santos
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Santos · 2.09 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santos
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Santos | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Santos 1 - 1 - 1 Palmeiras. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santos vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished Santos 0:0 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Palmeiras?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 1, Palmeiras won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santos vs Palmeiras?
Santos score 1.53 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.75. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Santos's matches and 53% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Santos and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Santos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santos vs Palmeiras?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Santos vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.