Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 21 October 2026

SC Villa vs Express: match statistics

SC Villa crest
SC Villa
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Express crest
Express
170%(0.00)
X20%(0.00)
210%(0.00)

SC Villa displays impressive home form with 78% of matches won at their own stadium and a goal difference of +14, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts have recorded as many as eight wins and only one draw in their last nine home matches, confirming their dominance on their own turf. Express, conversely, faces huge problems in away matches – they have not won a single game on the road this season (0% wins), and their series of five recent away matches consists of four draws and one defeat. Additionally, the visitors have averaged just 0.22 goals per away match and failed to score in 78% of their outings on foreign grounds. The difference in quality of play, efficiency, and form between the two teams is distinct, which, considering the hosts' advantage at home, makes an SC Villa victory the most likely outcome.

SC Villa vs Express: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

SC Villa played Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

SC Villa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Express: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

SC Villa scores 1.53 and concedes 0.59 goals per match. Express scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: SC Villa 41%, Express 28%. Over 2.5: SC Villa 41%, Express 33%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 36%.

xG, shots and style

SC Villa has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.32. SC Villa: 9.2 shots per match, Express: 8.6.

Match halves

SC Villa: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88. Express: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

SC Villa: 0-15 (7 goals). Express: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 36%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

SC Villa displays impressive home form with 78% of matches won at their own stadium and a goal difference of +14, making them the clear favorite for this meeting. The hosts have recorded as many as eight wins and only one draw in their last nine home matches, confirming their dominance on their own turf. Express, conversely, faces huge problems in away matches – they have not won a single game on the road this season (0% wins), and their series of five recent away matches consists of four draws and one defeat. Additionally, the visitors have averaged just 0.22 goals per away match and failed to score in 78% of their outings on foreign grounds. The difference in quality of play, efficiency, and form between the two teams is distinct, which, considering the hosts' advantage at home, makes an SC Villa victory the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
SC VillaExpress
14Shots8
SC VillaExpress
6Shots on target3
SC VillaExpress
1.95xG1.14
SC VillaExpress
4Corners2
SC VillaExpress
88Dangerous attacks56
SC VillaExpress
-1Fouls-1
SC VillaExpress
-1Cards-1
SC VillaExpress

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match0.83
SC VillaExpress
0.59Goals conceded / match1
SC VillaExpress
49%Average possession44%
SC VillaExpress
3.35Shots on target / match3.39
SC VillaExpress

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.24Shots per match8.56
SC VillaExpress
3.35Shots on target3.39
SC VillaExpress
16.6%Shot conversion9.7%
SC VillaExpress
49%Possession44%
SC VillaExpress
1.37xG for1.32
SC VillaExpress
1.21xG against1.65
SC VillaExpress

Shooting quality

SC Villa: Efficient finishingExpress: Balanced
SC VillaExpress
Accuracy (shots on target)36%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SC Villa is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - SC Villa · 0.8 pts / match - Express

SC Villa
LWDDW
Season result split
59% W24% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Express
LDDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W39% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-7
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-5-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 84% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - SC Villa · 0.83 goals / match - Express

SC Villa is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.59 goals / match - SC Villa · 1 goals / match - Express

SC Villa scoring profile: strong

SC Villa scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

Express scoring profile: more difficult

Express scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).

26Goals scored (season)15
SC VillaExpress
10Goals conceded (season)18
SC VillaExpress
2.12Average goals in match1.83
SC VillaExpress
9Goals scored (last 5)1
SC VillaExpress
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
SC VillaExpress

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal39%
SC VillaExpress
35%2 goals17%
SC VillaExpress
18%3 goals17%
SC VillaExpress
6%4 goals11%
SC VillaExpress

How often they concede at least...

47%1 goal61%
SC VillaExpress
12%2 goals22%
SC VillaExpress
0%3 goals11%
SC VillaExpress
0%4 goals6%
SC VillaExpress

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time11%
SC VillaExpress
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SC VillaExpress
24%Scored in both halves17%
SC VillaExpress

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
SC VillaExpress
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
SC VillaExpress
40%BTTS - last 520%
SC VillaExpress

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
SC VillaExpress
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
SC VillaExpress
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
SC VillaExpress

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
SC VillaExpress
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
SC VillaExpress
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
SC VillaExpress

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - SC Villa · 1.22 pts / match - Express

SC Villa - half-time state
35% leading41% draw24% trailing
Express - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.22
SC VillaExpress
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.39
SC VillaExpress
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
SC VillaExpress
0.82Average goals (1st half)0.83
SC VillaExpress
76%Clean sheet before half-time67%
SC VillaExpress
65%No goal before half-time72%
SC VillaExpress

After half-time (2nd half)

1.94Points per match (2nd half)1.11
SC VillaExpress
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
SC VillaExpress
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
SC VillaExpress
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1
SC VillaExpress
71%Clean sheet after half-time56%
SC VillaExpress
35%No goal after half-time72%
SC VillaExpress

SC Villa - second-half results

47% W53% D0% L
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

SC Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.00.6
1 goal0%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
0
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
6
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

SC VillaLigaExpress
Average goals in match• 2.122.16▼ 1.83
Both teams scored• 41%42%▼ 28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 41%36%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 53%36%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time• 59%60%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 65%60%• 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
0.81
Away goals / match
+68%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: SC Villa 1 - 0 - 0 Express. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of SC Villa vs Express?

The Uganda Premier League match finished SC Villa 0:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs Express?

SC Villa score 1.53 goals per game on average and Express 0.83. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 41% of SC Villa's matches and 28% of Express's.

What form are SC Villa and Express in?

Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Express 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs Express?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.